AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sul-Matogrossense Feb 07, 2026

Portuguesa MS

Home
VS
20:00

Naviraiense

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Portuguesa MS Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Naviraiense Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.98 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.8
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Portuguesa MS Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Naviraiense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Portuguesa MS Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Portuguesā€¦ vs Corumbaenā€¦ 1-1
Feb 01 Portuguesā€¦ vs Costa Rica 2-1
Jan 28 Portuguesā€¦ vs Dourados ā€¦ 0-1
Jan 24 Portuguesā€¦ vs Ɓguia Negā€¦ 1-2
Jan 18 Portuguesā€¦ vs OperĆ”rio ā€¦ 3-0
Feb 07 Portuguesā€¦ vs Naviraienā€¦ 3-0
Naviraiense Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Naviraienā€¦ vs Ivinhema 1-1
Jan 31 Naviraienā€¦ vs Cr Aquidaā€¦ 1-2
Jan 28 Naviraienā€¦ vs Corumbaenā€¦ 1-0
Jan 24 Naviraienā€¦ vs Bataguassu 2-0
Mar 02 Naviraienā€¦ vs Coxim 0-2
Feb 07 Naviraienā€¦ vs Portuguesā€¦ 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Naviraiense in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 07, 2025 Portuguesa MS 3 - 0 Naviraiense Sul-Matogrosseā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Portuguesa MS to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Portuguesa MS Power 0
Naviraiense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Portuguesa MS Position

-1

Position Gap

3

Naviraiense Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.