Iraqi League · Jul 21, 2023 16:15
Al Zawra'a
PWR 35
Naft
PWR 35
Al Zawra'a
PWR 35
0 - 1
FT
Naft
PWR 35
43% H
25% D
32% A
Final Verdict
Al Zawra'a Win
Prediction
3-1
Score
84%
Confidence
PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Stability PREMIUM
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (20%)
0-0 (19%)
1-1 (12%)
0-1 (11%)
2-0 (11%)
2-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 0-1
Stability Protocol
PREMIUM · 5 rules · 84%DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy68%
FORM_DOMINANTHOME_WIN_RATEAWAY_WEAK_RATEFORM_MISMATCHCOMBINED_ELITE
AH: AH -0.5 - Low draw risk
AH_05
Standings data available (Tier 2)Strong home team = lower draw risk✓ Passed 75% Stability Protocol (5 rules, 84% confidence)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Al Zawra'a Form
DDLDL
STABLE
Naft Form
DWLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS29%
Under 2.577%
Al Zawra'a Goals
0
34%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Naft Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Al Zawra'avs
0.59
NaftDecision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum66%
Standings74%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Al Zawra'a+7
Gap#12
Naft
WR 63% 31 pts
WR 11% 21 pts
Al Zawra'a
6.0%
| Jul 20 | Al Zawr… v Duhok | 1-1 |
| Jul 04 | Al Zawr… v Duhok | 2-2 |
| Jun 29 | Al Zawr… v Naft Ma… | 1-2 |
| Jun 24 | Al Zawr… v Naft Ma… | 2-2 |
| Jun 03 | Al Zawr… v Al Zawr… | 0-1 |
| May 23 | Al Zawr… v Al-Qasi… | 0-0 |
| May 19 | Al Zawr… v Erbil | 3-1 |
| May 10 | Al Zawr… v Al-Qasi… | 1-1 |
| May 05 | Al Zawr… v Zakho | 2-0 |
| Apr 29 | Al Zawr… v Al Najaf | 1-1 |
Naft
6.0%
| Jul 05 | Naft v Al Najaf | 0-0 |
| May 23 | Naft v Al Najaf | 1-0 |
| May 20 | Naft v Al Quwa… | 0-2 |
| May 07 | Naft v Erbil | 0-2 |
| Apr 24 | Naft v Al Zawr… | 1-2 |
| Mar 13 | Naft v Naft Ma… | 1-2 |
| Feb 28 | Naft v Al Zawr… | 0-3 |
| Feb 11 | Naft v Al Najaf | 1-2 |
| Dec 14 | Naft v Al Quwa… | 0-0 |
| Dec 05 | Naft v Erbil | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 24, 2023 | Naft | 1-2 | Al Zawra'a |
| Feb 28, 2023 | Naft | 0-3 | Al Zawra'a |
| Nov 25, 2022 | Al Zawra'a | 2-2 | Naft |
| May 28, 2022 | Naft | 2-2 | Al Zawra'a |
| Apr 28, 2022 | Al Zawra'a | 0-1 | Naft |
| Dec 22, 2021 | Al Zawra'a | 1-2 | Naft |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Naft | 0-1 | Al Zawra'a |
| Jul 15, 2021 | Naft | 1-1 | Al Zawra'a |
| Feb 28, 2021 | Naft | 0-0 | Al Zawra'a |
| Feb 10, 2021 | Al Zawra'a | 0-1 | Naft |
Key Factors
Naft struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.