AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Rondoniense Apr 16, 2025

Porto Velho

Home
VS
23:30

Jaguaré

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Porto Velho Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Jaguaré Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.35 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.4 vs 0.4
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Porto Velho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Jaguaré Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (14%) 2-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Porto Velho Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Porto Vel… vs Jaguaré 1-2
Apr 09 Porto Vel… vs Barcelona… 1-0
Apr 05 Porto Vel… vs Barcelona… 1-1
Apr 02 Porto Vel… vs Paranoá 0-0
Mar 26 Porto Vel… vs Jaguaré 0-1
Mar 16 Porto Vel… vs Genus 2-1
Mar 05 Porto Vel… vs Jaguaré 2-1
Feb 25 Porto Vel… vs Paranoá 2-0
Feb 15 Porto Vel… vs Genus 2-0
Apr 21 Porto Vel… vs Genus 3-0
Jaguaré Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Jaguaré vs Porto Vel… 1-2
Apr 10 Jaguaré vs Paranoá 2-1
Apr 06 Jaguaré vs Paranoá 0-0
Apr 02 Jaguaré vs Barcelona… 3-0
Mar 26 Jaguaré vs Porto Vel… 0-1
Mar 12 Jaguaré vs Barcelona… 0-1
Mar 08 Jaguaré vs Genus 1-3
Mar 05 Jaguaré vs Porto Vel… 2-1
Mar 02 Jaguaré vs Paranoá 1-0
Feb 12 Jaguaré vs Maguary PE 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Porto Velho in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 13, 2025 Jaguaré 1 - 2 Porto Velho Rondoniense
Mar 26, 2025 Jaguaré 0 - 1 Porto Velho Rondoniense
Mar 05, 2025 Porto Velho 2 - 1 Jaguaré Rondoniense
Apr 08, 2023 Jaguaré 1 - 0 Porto Velho Rondoniense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Porto Velho to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Porto Velho Power 0
Jaguaré Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.