AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Africa Cup of Nations Jan 11, 2022

Algeria

Home
VS
16:00

Egypt

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Algeria Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Egypt Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 2.07 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.9
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Algeria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Egypt Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Algeria Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Algeria vs Egypt 1-1
Dec 01 Algeria vs Sudan 4-0
Nov 16 Algeria vs Burkina F… 2-2
Sep 08 Algeria vs Bulgaria 4-1
Sep 07 Algeria vs Burkina F… 1-1
Sep 05 Algeria vs Paris FC 4-0
Mar 28 Algeria vs Paris FC 1-2
Oct 13 Algeria vs Tunisia 1-1
Egypt Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 11 Egypt vs Jordan 3-1
Dec 07 Egypt vs Algeria 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 07, 2021 Algeria 1 - 1 Egypt Arab Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Algeria to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Algeria Power 0
Egypt Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Algeria Position

0

Position Gap

1

Egypt Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.