AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraibano 2 Oct 05, 2025

Atlético Alagoinhas

Home
VS
20:00

Guarabira

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Atlético Alagoinhas Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Guarabira Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 2.66 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.2
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Alagoinhas Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Guarabira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (20%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (15%) 0-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Atlético Alagoinhas Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 04 Atlético … vs Caninde 0-0
Sep 29 Atlético … vs Guarabira 2-2
Sep 27 Atlético … vs América d… 2-0
Sep 21 Atlético … vs São Paulo… 3-0
Sep 20 Atlético … vs Flamengo 2-0
Sep 18 Atlético … vs Miramar 2-0
Sep 15 Atlético … vs Frei Paul… 0-1
Sep 14 Atlético … vs Queimaden… 3-0
Sep 11 Atlético … vs Serrano RJ 3-3
Sep 07 Atlético … vs Cruzeiro 3-0
Guarabira Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 Guarabira vs Atlético … 2-2
Sep 25 Guarabira vs Miramar 1-4
Sep 21 Guarabira vs Cruzeiro 2-1
Sep 17 Guarabira vs Confiança 0-0
Sep 14 Guarabira vs Sabugy 2-0
Sep 11 Guarabira vs Miramar 1-1
Sep 08 Guarabira vs Serrano RJ 1-2
Sep 04 Guarabira vs Spartax 2-2
Aug 31 Guarabira vs São Paulo… 2-1
Aug 28 Guarabira vs Atlético … 2-3
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 29, 2025 Guarabira 2 - 2 Atlético Alagoinhas Paraibano 2
Aug 28, 2025 Atlético Alagoinhas 2 - 3 Guarabira Paraibano 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atlético Alagoinhas to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Alagoinhas Power 0
Guarabira Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.