AI Match Insights
Ligue 1 Feb 17, 2026
TP Mazembe
HomeVS
13:00
Groupe Bazano
AwayAI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
TP Mazembe Win
Draw
Groupe Bazano Win
Home Win
(57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
90%
Market
50%
Combined: 68%
Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 4.14 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.1 vs 0.2
Position gap: 13 places
Score Prediction Analysis
TP Mazembe Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Groupe Bazano Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%)
2-0 (11%)
1-0 (5%)
3-1 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
TP Mazembe Form 18.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 04 | TP Mazembe vs Tanganyika | 0-0 |
| Jan 29 | TP Mazembe vs Sanga Bal… | 1-2 |
| Jan 18 | TP Mazembe vs Saint-luc | 3-0 |
| Jan 03 | TP Mazembe vs Malole | 2-0 |
| Dec 22 | TP Mazembe vs FC Tshikas | 0-1 |
| Dec 18 | TP Mazembe vs Tshinkunku | 1-1 |
| Dec 14 | TP Mazembe vs Saint-luc | 1-2 |
| Dec 01 | TP Mazembe vs Tanganyika | 2-0 |
| Nov 26 | TP Mazembe vs Groupe Ba… | 0-2 |
| Nov 23 | TP Mazembe vs Blessing | 2-0 |
Groupe Bazano Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 01 | Groupe Ba… vs Panda B5 | 0-1 |
| Jan 29 | Groupe Ba… vs Lubumbash… | 1-1 |
| Jan 22 | Groupe Ba… vs Malole | 1-0 |
| Jan 18 | Groupe Ba… vs FC Tshikas | 1-0 |
| Jan 15 | Groupe Ba… vs Tshinkunku | 1-0 |
| Dec 21 | Groupe Ba… vs Tanganyika | 2-3 |
| Dec 18 | Groupe Ba… vs Don Bosco | 1-0 |
| Dec 13 | Groupe Ba… vs Saint Elo… | 1-1 |
| Dec 10 | Groupe Ba… vs Simba | 3-0 |
| Dec 06 | Groupe Ba… vs Sanga Bal… | 1-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- TP Mazembe in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | Groupe Bazano | 0 - 2 | TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 05, 2025 | TP Mazembe | 5 - 1 | Groupe Bazano | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 13, 2024 | Groupe Bazano | 0 - 1 | TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Jan 10, 2024 | Groupe Bazano | 1 - 6 | TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2023 | TP Mazembe | 4 - 0 | Groupe Bazano | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 23, 2022 | TP Mazembe | 0 - 0 | Groupe Bazano | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 03, 2021 | Groupe Bazano | 1 - 1 | TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 19, 2021 | Groupe Bazano | 0 - 0 | TP Mazembe | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 29, 2020 | TP Mazembe | 2 - 0 | Groupe Bazano | Ligue 1 |
Final Verdict
PRO: TP Mazembe to win (65% confidence)
PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0
65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
TP Mazembe Power
0
Groupe Bazano Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
TP Mazembe Position+13
Position Gap14
Groupe Bazano Position
Home Win Rate: 88%
Away Win Rate: 10%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.