AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier League Feb 17, 2026

Naxxar Lions

Home
VS
19:00

Gżira United

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Naxxar Lions Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Gżira United Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.63 - 2.12
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 2.1
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Naxxar Lions Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Gżira United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 2-3 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Naxxar Lions Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Naxxar Li… vs Mosta 5-0
Feb 01 Naxxar Li… vs Valletta … 4-2
Jan 27 Naxxar Li… vs Swieqi Un… 2-4
Jan 23 Naxxar Li… vs Zabbar St… 2-1
Jan 17 Naxxar Li… vs Floriana 3-1
Jan 11 Naxxar Li… vs Tarxien R… 1-0
Jan 08 Naxxar Li… vs Zabbar St… 1-2
Jan 04 Naxxar Li… vs Marsa 0-3
Dec 19 Naxxar Li… vs Mosta 2-3
Dec 11 Naxxar Li… vs Gżira Uni… 3-1
Gżira United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Gżira Uni… vs Hamrun Sp… 0-0
Jan 31 Gżira Uni… vs Tarxien R… 1-2
Jan 25 Gżira Uni… vs Birkirkar… 2-0
Jan 18 Gżira Uni… vs Marsaxlokk 3-0
Jan 11 Gżira Uni… vs Zabbar St… 0-2
Jan 06 Gżira Uni… vs Hibernian… 4-1
Jan 03 Gżira Uni… vs St. Andre… 0-2
Dec 19 Gżira Uni… vs Tarxien R… 2-1
Dec 11 Gżira Uni… vs Naxxar Li… 3-1
Nov 24 Gżira Uni… vs Mosta 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Naxxar Lions struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 11, 2025 Gżira United 3 - 1 Naxxar Lions Premier League
Nov 03, 2025 Naxxar Lions 2 - 1 Gżira United Premier League
Jul 25, 2025 Naxxar Lions 1 - 3 Gżira United Friendlies Clu…
Apr 28, 2025 Gżira United 0 - 2 Naxxar Lions Premier League
Jan 25, 2025 Gżira United 1 - 0 Naxxar Lions Premier League
Nov 30, 2024 Gżira United 1 - 1 Naxxar Lions Premier League
Oct 20, 2024 Naxxar Lions 1 - 1 Gżira United Premier League
Aug 09, 2024 Gżira United 3 - 0 Naxxar Lions Friendlies Clu…
Feb 10, 2024 Naxxar Lions 0 - 1 Gżira United Premier League
Sep 26, 2023 Gżira United 1 - 1 Naxxar Lions Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Naxxar Lions Power 0
Gżira United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Naxxar Lions Position

-6

Position Gap

2

Gżira United Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.