AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Femenil Feb 17, 2026

Toluca Women

Home
VS
00:00

Pachuca Women

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Toluca Women Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Pachuca Women Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 38% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 1.22 - 2.33
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Toluca Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Pachuca Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 0-2 (8%) 1-3 (7%) 0-1 (7%) 0-3 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Under 2.5 Goals 34%
Toluca Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Toluca Wo… vs Atlético … 4-0
Jan 31 Toluca Wo… vs Juárez Wo… 3-2
Jan 26 Toluca Wo… vs Querétaro… 1-4
Jan 22 Toluca Wo… vs Tigres UA… 1-2
Jan 17 Toluca Wo… vs Puebla Wo… 0-1
Jan 13 Toluca Wo… vs Atlas Wom… 2-0
Jan 06 Toluca Wo… vs Tijuana W… 5-3
Nov 10 Toluca Wo… vs Guadalaja… 0-2
Nov 07 Toluca Wo… vs Guadalaja… 2-2
Oct 31 Toluca Wo… vs Puebla Wo… 4-1
Pachuca Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Pachuca W… vs Tigres UA… 2-2
Jan 27 Pachuca W… vs Necaxa Wo… 0-6
Jan 21 Pachuca W… vs Puebla Wo… 7-0
Jan 16 Pachuca W… vs Cruz Azul… 1-0
Jan 12 Pachuca W… vs Querétaro… 4-0
Jan 07 Pachuca W… vs Atlas Wom… 0-3
Nov 09 Pachuca W… vs Cruz Azul… 0-5
Nov 06 Pachuca W… vs Cruz Azul… 1-2
Nov 01 Pachuca W… vs Tijuana W… 1-6
Oct 20 Pachuca W… vs Guadalaja… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Toluca Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Pachuca Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 05, 2025 Pachuca Women 1 - 2 Toluca Women Liga MX Femenil
Mar 21, 2025 Pachuca Women 2 - 3 Toluca Women Liga MX Femenil
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Toluca Women to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Toluca Women Power 0
Pachuca Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Toluca Women Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Pachuca Women Position
Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.