AI Match Insights

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Liga Premier Serie A Feb 17, 2026

Durango

Home
VS
02:05

Leones Negros

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Durango Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Leones Negros Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 20%
xG: 2.75 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Durango Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Leones Negros Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 46%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Durango Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Durango vs Tigres deā€¦ 0-1
Jan 24 Durango vs Tritons Vā€¦ 2-0
Jan 17 Durango vs Tecos 3-1
Jan 11 Durango vs Guerreros 0-1
Nov 22 Durango vs Mineros dā€¦ 1-6
Nov 15 Durango vs Cimarrones 1-1
Nov 02 Durango vs Ensenada 0-3
Oct 25 Durango vs Acatlan 5-1
Oct 18 Durango vs UA Zacateā€¦ 0-5
Oct 12 Durango vs Rebocerosā€¦ 0-5
Leones Negros Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Leones Neā€¦ vs Colima 0-2
Jan 24 Leones Neā€¦ vs UA Zacateā€¦ 0-1
Jan 17 Leones Neā€¦ vs Los Cabosā€¦ 2-0
Jan 11 Leones Neā€¦ vs Tigres deā€¦ 1-0
Nov 22 Leones Neā€¦ vs Tritons Vā€¦ 1-0
Nov 15 Leones Neā€¦ vs Tecos 2-1
Nov 09 Leones Neā€¦ vs Guerreros 4-5
Oct 25 Leones Neā€¦ vs Mineros dā€¦ 2-1
Oct 18 Leones Neā€¦ vs Cimarrones 1-0
Oct 11 Leones Neā€¦ vs Ensenada 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Durango in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Leones Negros struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

MASTER: Durango to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 98
Durango Power 0
Leones Negros Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Durango Position

+4

Position Gap

5

Leones Negros Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.