National Soccer League · Feb 07, 2026 13:00

Bugesera
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
APR
PWR 35
39% H 26% D 35% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (22%) 0-0 (19%) 0-2 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 4.4% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Bugesera Form WLWDW
STABLE
APR Form WDWWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.523%
BTTS28%
Under 2.577%
Bugesera Goals
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
APR Goals
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
8%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.53
Bugesera
vs
1.11
APR
Decision Breakdown
Player40%
Momentum43%
Standings30%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#12
Bugesera
-11
Gap
#1
APR
WR 44% 21 pts WR 40% 37 pts
Bugesera 14.0%
Jan 11 Bugesera v Etincel… 1-2
Jan 03 Bugesera v APR 2-1
Dec 26 Bugesera v Police 1-0
Dec 19 Bugesera v AS Kiga… 0-0
Dec 14 Bugesera v Rayon S… 2-1
Dec 11 Bugesera v Al Hila… 3-1
Dec 05 Bugesera v Mukura 0-1
Nov 30 Bugesera v Marines 2-1
Nov 27 Bugesera v Al Merr… 1-0
Nov 22 Bugesera v Rutsiro 2-3
APR 18.0%
Feb 04 APR v Gasogi … 0-3
Jan 18 APR v Al Merr… 0-0
Jan 14 APR v Amagaju 0-1
Jan 03 APR v Bugesera 2-1
Dec 26 APR v Muhanga 1-2
Dec 20 APR v Gasogi … 2-0
Dec 13 APR v Gorilla 0-0
Dec 06 APR v Police 0-0
Dec 02 APR v Etincel… 2-1
Nov 28 APR v AS Kiga… 1-1
Head-to-Head (10)
Jan 03, 2026 APR 2-1 Bugesera
Apr 05, 2025 Bugesera 0-1 APR
Nov 27, 2024 APR 2-0 Bugesera
Feb 18, 2024 Bugesera 0-0 APR
Oct 10, 2023 APR 1-1 Bugesera
Apr 02, 2023 APR 2-1 Bugesera
Oct 07, 2022 Bugesera 2-1 APR
Apr 17, 2022 Bugesera 0-0 APR
Dec 12, 2021 APR 2-1 Bugesera
Jun 10, 2021 Bugesera 0-3 APR
Key Factors
Bugesera in strong form (3W in last 5)
APR in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.