AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Brasiliense Feb 11, 2026

Gama

Home
VS
23:30

Ceilândia

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Gama Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Ceilândia Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 3.31 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Gama Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Ceilândia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (16%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (3%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Gama Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Gama vs Paranoá 4-1
Jan 25 Gama vs Brasilien… 1-2
Jan 21 Gama vs Samambaia… 0-0
Jan 17 Gama vs BrasĂ­lia 0-2
Jan 10 Gama vs Real FC 1-0
Mar 29 Gama vs Capital B… 1-1
Mar 26 Gama vs Brasilien… 0-0
Mar 15 Gama vs Brasilien… 3-0
Mar 08 Gama vs Capital B… 0-0
Feb 23 Gama vs Brasilien… 2-0
Ceilândia Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Ceilândia vs Real FC 2-0
Jan 25 Ceilândia vs Brasília 1-2
Jan 21 Ceilândia vs ARUC 3-0
Jan 18 Ceilândia vs Samambaia… 2-1
Jan 10 Ceilândia vs Sobradinh… 1-1
Mar 22 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 2-1
Mar 16 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 1-1
Feb 23 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 4-1
Jan 22 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 1-1
Apr 06 Ceilândia vs Capital B… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Gama in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Ceilândia in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

MASTER: Gama to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 98
Gama Power 0
Ceilândia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Gama Position

+2

Position Gap

3

Ceilândia Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.