Tocantinense · Feb 07, 2026 19:00
Tocantinópolis
PWR 50
Araguaína
PWR 46
Tocantinópolis
PWR 50
1 - 0
FT
Araguaína
PWR 46
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Tocantinópolis to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (28%)
0-0 (27%)
2-0 (14%)
1-1 (8%)
0-1 (8%)
3-0 (5%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Weak home team = higher draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 6.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack35
Defense76
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.7
Attack35
Defense70
Goals/G1.0
Conc/G0.8
Tocantinópolis Form
WWDDL
STABLE
Araguaína Form
LWDDD
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.514%
BTTS16%
Under 2.586%
Tocantinópo… Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
Araguaína Goals
0
75%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Tocantinópolisvs
0.29
AraguaínaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#2
Tocantinópo…+4
Gap#6
Araguaína
WR 37% 27 pts
WR 31% 16 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tocantinópolis | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 27 |
| Araguaína | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 11 | 16 |
Tocantinópolis
12.0%
| Jan 31 | Tocanti… v Guarai … | 2-0 |
| Jan 24 | Tocanti… v Bela Vi… | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Tocanti… v União C… | 0-0 |
| Mar 26 | Tocanti… v União C… | 0-0 |
| Mar 22 | Tocanti… v União C… | 1-0 |
| Mar 12 | Tocanti… v União C… | 3-0 |
| Mar 08 | Tocanti… v Araguaí… | 0-1 |
| Mar 01 | Tocanti… v Gurupi | 1-1 |
| Feb 15 | Tocanti… v Bela Vi… | 0-1 |
| Apr 06 | Tocanti… v União C… | 2-1 |
Araguaína
10.0%
| Jan 31 | Araguaí… v Palmas | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Araguaí… v Gurupi | 2-0 |
| Jan 17 | Araguaí… v Capital | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | Araguaí… v União C… | 0-0 |
| Mar 29 | Araguaí… v União C… | 1-1 |
| Mar 23 | Araguaí… v Capital | 0-3 |
| Mar 18 | Araguaí… v Capital | 1-2 |
| Mar 15 | Araguaí… v Capital | 1-0 |
| Mar 08 | Araguaí… v Tocanti… | 0-1 |
| Feb 22 | Araguaí… v Gurupi | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Mar 08, 2025 | Araguaína | 0-1 | Tocantinópolis |
| Feb 04, 2024 | Tocantinópolis | 0-1 | Araguaína |
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.