AI Match Insights

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FA WSL May 01, 2022

Arsenal Women

Home
VS
13:15

Aston Villa Women

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Arsenal Women Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Aston Villa Women Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 61%
Market 50%
Combined: 62% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.50 - 0.21
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Arsenal Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Aston Villa Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
81%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Arsenal Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 24 Arsenal W… vs Everton W… 0-3
Apr 03 Arsenal W… vs Leicester… 0-5
Feb 27 Arsenal W… vs Liverpool… 0-4
Feb 05 Arsenal W… vs Mancheste… 1-1
Jan 19 Arsenal W… vs Mancheste… 0-1
Dec 12 Arsenal W… vs Leicester… 4-0
Nov 21 Arsenal W… vs Mancheste… 0-2
Nov 13 Arsenal W… vs Tottenham… 1-1
Oct 10 Arsenal W… vs Everton W… 3-0
Sep 29 Arsenal W… vs Tottenham… 5-1
Aston Villa Women Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 24 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 0-0
Apr 03 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 0-1
Mar 05 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 0-1
Mar 02 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 0-1
Jan 15 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 0-3
Dec 19 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 5-0
Dec 12 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 1-2
Nov 20 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 5-0
Nov 14 Aston Vil… vs Birmingha… 0-1
Oct 13 Aston Vil… vs Liverpool… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arsenal Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Aston Villa Women struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

ELITE: Arsenal Women to win (91% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 2-0 91% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 60 vs 30
Arsenal Women Power 60
Aston Villa Women Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Arsenal Women Position

+4

Position Gap

7

Aston Villa Women Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.