AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
WSL Cup Jan 26, 2023

Arsenal Women

Home
VS
19:45

Aston Villa Women

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Arsenal Women Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Aston Villa Women Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 3.73 - 0.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Arsenal Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Aston Villa Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Arsenal Women Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 Arsenal W… vs Chelsea W… 1-1
Dec 11 Arsenal W… vs Aston Vil… 1-4
Dec 03 Arsenal W… vs Everton W… 1-0
Nov 19 Arsenal W… vs Mancheste… 2-3
Nov 06 Arsenal W… vs Leicester… 0-4
Oct 23 Arsenal W… vs Liverpool… 0-2
Sep 24 Arsenal W… vs Tottenham… 4-0
May 04 Arsenal W… vs Tottenham… 3-0
May 01 Arsenal W… vs Aston Vil… 7-0
Apr 24 Arsenal W… vs Everton W… 0-3
Aston Villa Women Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 1-1
Jan 14 Aston Vil… vs Tottenham… 2-1
Dec 11 Aston Vil… vs Arsenal W… 1-4
Dec 03 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 5-0
Nov 06 Aston Vil… vs Liverpool… 0-1
Oct 26 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 1-1
Oct 22 Aston Vil… vs Everton W… 0-1
Oct 01 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 1-1
Sep 18 Aston Vil… vs Mancheste… 4-3
May 08 Aston Vil… vs Birmingha… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Arsenal Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 11, 2022 Aston Villa Women 1 - 4 Arsenal Women FA WSL
May 01, 2022 Arsenal Women 7 - 0 Aston Villa Women FA WSL
Final Verdict

MASTER: Arsenal Women to win (80% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 2-0 80% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_HOME_25+ (68%) SCORING_THREAT_HOME
Key Factors
  • Power: 60 vs 30
Arsenal Women Power 60
Aston Villa Women Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.