AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Maranhense Mar 16, 2024

Sampaio Corrêa

Home
VS
20:00

Maranhão AC

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Sampaio Corrêa Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Maranhão AC Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 2.08 - 0.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.4
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sampaio Corrêa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
13%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Maranhão AC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
66%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (18%) 1-0 (17%) 3-0 (12%) 0-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 43%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%
Sampaio Corrêa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Sampaio C… vs Tuntum 2-0
Feb 03 Sampaio C… vs Moto Club… 2-0
Jan 28 Sampaio C… vs Maranhão … 3-0
Jan 21 Sampaio C… vs Tuntum 0-1
Nov 25 Sampaio C… vs Sport Rec… 4-1
Nov 20 Sampaio C… vs Avaí 4-0
Mar 12 Sampaio C… vs Moto Club… 0-2
Feb 25 Sampaio C… vs Maranhão … 2-2
Feb 12 Sampaio C… vs Moto Club… 0-3
Jan 28 Sampaio C… vs Maranhão … 0-0
Maranhão AC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 Maranhão … vs Tuntum 2-0
Jan 31 Maranhão … vs Imperatriz 0-1
Jan 28 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 3-0
Jan 17 Maranhão … vs Tuntum 4-0
Feb 25 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 2-2
Feb 09 Maranhão … vs IAPE 3-0
Jan 28 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 0-0
Jan 22 Maranhão … vs IAPE 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sampaio Corrêa in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Maranhão AC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 28, 2024 Maranhão AC 3 - 0 Sampaio Corrêa Maranhense
Feb 25, 2023 Sampaio Corrêa 2 - 2 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Jan 28, 2023 Sampaio Corrêa 0 - 0 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sampaio Corrêa to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sampaio Corrêa Power 0
Maranhão AC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Sampaio Corrêa Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Maranhão AC Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.