AI Match Insights

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Maranhense Mar 15, 2025

Maranhão AC

Home
VS
19:00

Sampaio Corrêa

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Maranhão AC Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Sampaio Corrêa Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 43%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.60 - 1.17
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Maranhão AC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Sampaio Corrêa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (20%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (12%) 0-2 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Maranhão AC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Maranhão … vs IAPE 1-0
Feb 25 Maranhão … vs Vitoria 0-1
Feb 02 Maranhão … vs Imperatriz 3-2
Jun 15 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 0-1
May 29 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 1-0
Apr 17 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 3-3
Apr 11 Maranhão … vs Tuntum 2-1
Apr 07 Maranhão … vs Tuntum 1-0
Mar 30 Maranhão … vs Imperatriz 1-1
Mar 16 Maranhão … vs Sampaio C… 2-2
Sampaio Corrêa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 10 Sampaio C… vs Boavista 3-0
Mar 07 Sampaio C… vs Boavista 0-0
Feb 26 Sampaio C… vs Figueiren… 0-1
Feb 01 Sampaio C… vs Moto Club… 1-1
Jan 26 Sampaio C… vs Tuntum 1-2
Jan 15 Sampaio C… vs IAPE 0-3
Aug 24 Sampaio C… vs Confiança 1-0
Aug 17 Sampaio C… vs Ypiranga-… 1-0
Aug 12 Sampaio C… vs ABC 2-2
Jun 15 Sampaio C… vs Maranhão … 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Maranhão AC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 15, 2024 Maranhão AC 0 - 1 Sampaio Corrêa Maranhense
May 29, 2024 Sampaio Corrêa 1 - 0 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Apr 17, 2024 Sampaio Corrêa 3 - 3 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Mar 16, 2024 Sampaio Corrêa 2 - 2 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Jan 28, 2024 Maranhão AC 3 - 0 Sampaio Corrêa Maranhense
Feb 25, 2023 Sampaio Corrêa 2 - 2 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Jan 28, 2023 Sampaio Corrêa 0 - 0 Maranhão AC Maranhense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Maranhão AC to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Maranhão AC Power 0
Sampaio Corrêa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Maranhão AC Position

+1

Position Gap

3

Sampaio Corrêa Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.