AI Match Insights

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Campionato Oct 28, 2023

Virtus

Home
VS
13:00

La Fiorita 1967

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Virtus Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
La Fiorita 1967 Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 66%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.18 - 0.72
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Virtus Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
3%
La Fiorita 1967 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Virtus Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 03 Virtus vs Libertas 2-1
Sep 22 Virtus vs Pennarossa 1-0
Sep 16 Virtus vs Tre Fiori 0-1
Sep 01 Virtus vs Tre Penne 0-2
May 27 Virtus vs Tre Penne 3-1
May 19 Virtus vs Libertas 1-2
May 13 Virtus vs La Fiorit… 2-1
May 03 Virtus vs Folgore 1-1
Apr 29 Virtus vs Folgore 1-1
Apr 23 Virtus vs Pennarossa 1-3
La Fiorita 1967 Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 21 La Fiorit… vs Cosmos 1-1
Oct 08 La Fiorit… vs Murata 2-1
Oct 04 La Fiorit… vs Juvenes /… 0-1
May 20 La Fiorit… vs Cosmos 2-1
May 13 La Fiorit… vs Virtus 2-1
May 03 La Fiorit… vs Juvenes /… 0-3
Apr 30 La Fiorit… vs Juvenes /… 2-0
Apr 16 La Fiorit… vs Tre Fiori 1-0
Apr 12 La Fiorit… vs San Giova… 1-1
Apr 06 La Fiorit… vs Murata 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Virtus in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • La Fiorita 1967 in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 13, 2023 La Fiorita 1967 2 - 1 Virtus Campionato
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Virtus to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Virtus Power 0
La Fiorita 1967 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Virtus Position

+2

Position Gap

3

La Fiorita 1967 Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 70%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.