AI Match Insights
Thai League 1 May 11, 2024
Ratchaburi
HomeVS
11:00
Muangthong United
AwayAI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Ratchaburi Win
Draw
Muangthong United Win
Home Win
(41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
88%
Market
50%
Combined: 68%
Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.52 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.0
Position gap: 12 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Ratchaburi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Muangthong United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (7%)
2-1 (7%)
3-2 (4%)
1-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
Ratchaburi Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 04 | Ratchaburi vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 0-1 |
| Apr 28 | Ratchaburi vs Chiangraiā¦ | 1-0 |
| Apr 24 | Ratchaburi vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 0-3 |
| Apr 07 | Ratchaburi vs Chonburi ā¦ | 0-1 |
| Mar 30 | Ratchaburi vs Sukhothaiā¦ | 1-0 |
| Dec 25 | Ratchaburi vs Port FC | 3-0 |
| Dec 20 | Ratchaburi vs Prachuap | 2-1 |
| Dec 16 | Ratchaburi vs Muangthonā¦ | 1-1 |
| Dec 09 | Ratchaburi vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 2-1 |
| Dec 01 | Ratchaburi vs Chiangraiā¦ | 3-0 |
Muangthong United Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27 | Muangthonā¦ vs Buriram Uā¦ | 3-1 |
| Feb 18 | Muangthonā¦ vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 2-0 |
| Dec 23 | Muangthonā¦ vs Chonburi ā¦ | 2-1 |
| Dec 16 | Muangthonā¦ vs Ratchaburi | 1-1 |
| Dec 03 | Muangthonā¦ vs Buriram Uā¦ | 2-2 |
| Sep 16 | Muangthonā¦ vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 5-2 |
| Aug 13 | Muangthonā¦ vs Chiangraiā¦ | 0-1 |
| May 12 | Muangthonā¦ vs Ratchaburi | 4-0 |
| Apr 30 | Muangthonā¦ vs Chiangraiā¦ | 1-2 |
| Feb 25 | Muangthonā¦ vs Bangkok Gā¦ | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Ratchaburi struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2023 | Muangthong United | 1 - 1 | Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| May 12, 2023 | Muangthong United | 4 - 0 | Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
| Aug 13, 2022 | Ratchaburi | 1 - 0 | Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 26, 2022 | Ratchaburi | 0 - 1 | Muangthong United | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 24, 2021 | Muangthong United | 2 - 1 | Ratchaburi | Thai League 1 |
Final Verdict
PRO: Ratchaburi to win (65% confidence)
PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0
65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Ratchaburi Power
0
Muangthong United Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Ratchaburi Position+12
Position Gap14
Muangthong United Position
Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 16%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.