AI Match Insights

Thai League 1 Jan 19, 2025

Ratchaburi

Home
VS
11:00

Muangthong United

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Ratchaburi Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Muangthong United Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 88%
Market 50%
Combined: 68% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.52 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.6 Position gap: 12 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Ratchaburi Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Muangthong United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 3-1 (7%) 1-0 (6%) 2-1 (6%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Ratchaburi Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 15 Ratchaburi vs Bangkok G… 1-2
Nov 09 Ratchaburi vs Prachuap 3-2
Nov 02 Ratchaburi vs Sukhothai… 2-2
Oct 20 Ratchaburi vs Chiangrai… 1-0
Oct 05 Ratchaburi vs Rayong FC 2-0
Sep 21 Ratchaburi vs Nakhon Ra… 4-0
Sep 01 Ratchaburi vs Port FC 2-2
Aug 28 Ratchaburi vs Muangthon… 2-0
Aug 25 Ratchaburi vs Bangkok G… 4-1
Jun 15 Ratchaburi vs Bangkok G… 1-1
Muangthong United Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 16 Muangthon… vs Rayong FC 4-0
Dec 22 Muangthon… vs Buriram U… 1-0
Dec 15 Muangthon… vs Chiangrai… 3-1
Oct 19 Muangthon… vs Bangkok G… 1-1
Aug 28 Muangthon… vs Ratchaburi 2-0
Aug 23 Muangthon… vs Rayong FC 1-1
Jun 16 Muangthon… vs Bangkok G… 1-0
May 26 Muangthon… vs Chiangrai… 2-3
May 22 Muangthon… vs Buriram U… 0-2
May 18 Muangthon… vs Chonburi … 6-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Ratchaburi in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 28, 2024 Muangthong United 2 - 0 Ratchaburi Thai League 1
May 11, 2024 Ratchaburi 1 - 2 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Dec 16, 2023 Muangthong United 1 - 1 Ratchaburi Thai League 1
May 12, 2023 Muangthong United 4 - 0 Ratchaburi Thai League 1
Aug 13, 2022 Ratchaburi 1 - 0 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Jan 26, 2022 Ratchaburi 0 - 1 Muangthong United Thai League 1
Sep 24, 2021 Muangthong United 2 - 1 Ratchaburi Thai League 1
Final Verdict

PRO: Ratchaburi to win (65% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 65% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Ratchaburi Power 0
Muangthong United Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Ratchaburi Position

+12

Position Gap

14

Muangthong United Position

Home Win Rate: 63%
Away Win Rate: 16%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.