League One · Dec 03, 2024 19:45
Alloa Athletic
PWR 35
Dumbarton
PWR 41
Alloa Athletic
PWR 35
2 - 2
FT
Dumbarton
PWR 41
31% H
28% D
41% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Alloa Athletic to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
0-1 (19%)
0-0 (15%)
0-2 (13%)
1-1 (12%)
1-0 (9%)
1-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack51
Defense41
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.7
Alloa Athletic Form
LLLLL
DOWN
Dumbarton Form
WWLDL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.529%
BTTS33%
Under 2.571%
Alloa Athle… Goals
0
55%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
Dumbarton Goals
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Alloa Athleticvs
1.29
DumbartonDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum41%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Alloa Athle…+8
Gap#9
Dumbarton
WR 40% 235 pts
WR 31% 50 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa Athletic | 161 | 65 | 40 | 56 | 251 | 217 | 235 |
| Dumbarton | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 66 | 50 |
Alloa Athletic
0.0%
| Nov 30 | Alloa A… v Fraserb… | 2-0 |
| Nov 29 | Alloa A… v Dumbart… | 3-2 |
| Nov 16 | Alloa A… v Inverne… | 1-0 |
| Nov 16 | Alloa A… v Elgin C… | 2-1 |
| Nov 12 | Alloa A… v Dunferm… | 1-0 |
| Nov 09 | Alloa A… v Queen o… | 1-1 |
| Nov 09 | Alloa A… v Spartans | 0-3 |
| Nov 09 | Alloa A… v Stenhou… | 1-1 |
| Nov 02 | Alloa A… v Edinbur… | 2-0 |
| Oct 27 | Alloa A… v Orange … | 3-2 |
Dumbarton
10.0%
| Nov 29 | Dumbart… v Alloa A… | 3-2 |
| Oct 26 | Dumbart… v Inverne… | 3-1 |
| Oct 05 | Dumbart… v Stenhou… | 1-3 |
| Sep 14 | Dumbart… v Alloa A… | 1-1 |
| Sep 07 | Dumbart… v Peterhe… | 1-0 |
| Aug 13 | Dumbart… v St. Mir… | 4-0 |
| Aug 10 | Dumbart… v Alloa A… | 3-3 |
| Aug 03 | Dumbart… v Inverne… | 1-1 |
| Jul 13 | Dumbart… v East Ki… | 1-1 |
| May 17 | Dumbart… v Spartans | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Nov 29, 2024 | Dumbarton | 3-2 | Alloa Athletic |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Alloa Athletic | 1-1 | Dumbarton |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Dumbarton | 3-3 | Alloa Athletic |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Alloa Athletic | 4-5 | Dumbarton |
| May 13, 2023 | Dumbarton | 0-0 | Alloa Athletic |
| May 09, 2023 | Alloa Athletic | 6-0 | Dumbarton |
| Apr 08, 2023 | Alloa Athletic | 3-1 | Dumbarton |
| Apr 02, 2022 | Alloa Athletic | 2-3 | Dumbarton |
| Feb 19, 2022 | Dumbarton | 1-2 | Alloa Athletic |
| Nov 20, 2021 | Alloa Athletic | 1-2 | Dumbarton |
Key Factors
Alloa Athletic struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.