AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
League One Feb 01, 2025

Dumbarton

Home
VS
15:00

Alloa Athletic

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Dumbarton Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Alloa Athletic Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 2.99 - 0.51
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.5
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dumbarton Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Alloa Athletic Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Dumbarton Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Dumbarton vs Airdrieon… 1-5
Jan 04 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 2-0
Dec 14 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 1-5
Dec 07 Dumbarton vs Stenhouse… 4-0
Dec 03 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 2-2
Nov 29 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 3-2
Oct 26 Dumbarton vs Inverness… 3-1
Oct 05 Dumbarton vs Stenhouse… 1-3
Sep 14 Dumbarton vs Alloa Ath… 1-1
Sep 07 Dumbarton vs Peterhead 1-0
Alloa Athletic Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Alloa Ath… vs Inverness… 1-2
Jan 25 Alloa Ath… vs Stranraer 0-1
Jan 18 Alloa Ath… vs Rangers FC 2-0
Jan 11 Alloa Ath… vs Queen of … 1-1
Jan 11 Alloa Ath… vs Elgin City 1-1
Jan 04 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 1-1
Dec 28 Alloa Ath… vs Stenhouse… 1-3
Dec 21 Alloa Ath… vs Clyde 2-0
Dec 21 Alloa Ath… vs Rangers FC 2-0
Dec 14 Alloa Ath… vs Montrose 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dumbarton struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Alloa Athletic struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 14, 2024 Dumbarton 1 - 5 Alloa Athletic League One
Dec 03, 2024 Alloa Athletic 2 - 2 Dumbarton League One
Nov 29, 2024 Dumbarton 3 - 2 Alloa Athletic FA Cup
Sep 14, 2024 Alloa Athletic 1 - 1 Dumbarton League One
Aug 10, 2024 Dumbarton 3 - 3 Alloa Athletic League One
Nov 25, 2023 Alloa Athletic 4 - 5 Dumbarton FA Cup
May 13, 2023 Dumbarton 0 - 0 Alloa Athletic League One
May 09, 2023 Alloa Athletic 6 - 0 Dumbarton League One
Apr 08, 2023 Alloa Athletic 3 - 1 Dumbarton League Two
Apr 02, 2022 Alloa Athletic 2 - 3 Dumbarton League One
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dumbarton Power 0
Alloa Athletic Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.