AI Match Insights

First Division Jan 31, 2022

Aris

Home
VS
17:00

AEL

Away
AI Predictions 61.7% Confidence
Aris Win
61.7%
Draw
21.7%
AEL Win
16.7%
Home Win (62% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 1.70 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.9
Score Prediction Analysis
Aris Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
AEL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 0-0 (7%) 0-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Aris Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 30 Aris vs AEL 0-1
AEL Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 19 AEL vs Olympiako… 3-0
Oct 30 AEL vs Aris 0-1
Sep 03 AEL vs Paris FC 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 30, 2021 AEL 0 - 1 Aris First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aris Power 0
AEL Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Aris Position

+2

Position Gap

7

AEL Position

Home Win Rate: 80%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.