First Division · Aug 28, 2022 16:00
Aris
PWR 35
AEL
PWR 35
Aris
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
AEL
PWR 35
42% H
26% D
32% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
43%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
1-0 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
1-2 (7%)
0-1 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Aris Form
LW
STABLE
AEL Form
WLLWW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.555%
BTTS58%
Under 2.545%
Aris Goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
AEL Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Arisvs
1.23
AELDecision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum64%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Aris+2
Gap#7
AEL
WR 80% 37 pts
WR 40% 30 pts
Aris
10.0%
| Jan 31 | Aris v AEL | 1-2 |
| Oct 30 | Aris v AEL | 0-1 |
AEL
12.0%
| May 20 | AEL v Ethniko… | 1-2 |
| May 07 | AEL v Omonia … | 3-2 |
| Apr 29 | AEL v Olympia… | 0-4 |
| Apr 09 | AEL v Ethniko… | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | AEL v Olympia… | 0-1 |
| Feb 26 | AEL v AEK Lar… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | AEL v Aris | 1-2 |
| Dec 19 | AEL v Olympia… | 3-0 |
| Oct 30 | AEL v Aris | 0-1 |
| Sep 03 | AEL v Paris FC | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jan 31, 2022 | Aris | 1-2 | AEL |
| Oct 30, 2021 | AEL | 0-1 | Aris |
Key Factors
AEL in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.