AI Match Insights

First Division Dec 04, 2023

AEL

Home
VS
17:00

Aris

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
AEL Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Aris Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.63 - 0.50
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AEL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Aris Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (32%) 1-0 (20%) 0-1 (16%) 1-1 (10%) 2-0 (6%) 0-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Under 2.5 Goals 89%
AEL Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 27 AEL vs AEK Larna… 3-0
Oct 08 AEL vs Ethnikos … 1-0
Oct 01 AEL vs Anorthosis 1-3
Sep 16 AEL vs Omonia Ni… 0-0
Aug 12 AEL vs Anorthosis 0-0
May 24 AEL vs Omonia Ni… 0-1
May 13 AEL vs Anorthosis 2-0
May 09 AEL vs Paris FC 1-0
Apr 30 AEL vs Olympiako… 1-1
Apr 26 AEL vs Olympiako… 1-0
Aris Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 19 Aris vs Anorthosis 3-1
Apr 12 Aris vs Anorthosis 2-3
Feb 18 Aris vs Apollon L… 1-3
Jan 04 Aris vs Anorthosis 1-0
Dec 11 Aris vs AEL 0-0
Dec 11 Aris vs Omonia Ni… 1-0
Nov 12 Aris vs Apollon L… 2-0
Sep 16 Aris vs Anorthosis 1-1
Aug 29 Aris vs Omonia Ni… 1-0
Aug 28 Aris vs AEL 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aris in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • AEL struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 11, 2022 AEL 0 - 0 Aris First Division
Aug 28, 2022 Aris 2 - 1 AEL First Division
Jan 31, 2022 Aris 1 - 2 AEL First Division
Oct 30, 2021 AEL 0 - 1 Aris First Division
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AEL Power 0
Aris Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

AEL Position

-2

Position Gap

5

Aris Position

Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.