AI Match Insights
First Division Dec 04, 2023
AEL
HomeVS
17:00
Aris
AwayAI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
AEL Win
Draw
Aris Win
Away Win
(43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
Combined: 40%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.63 - 0.50
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AEL Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Aris Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (32%)
1-0 (20%)
0-1 (16%)
1-1 (10%)
2-0 (6%)
0-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
89%
AEL Form 4.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 27 | AEL vs AEK Larna… | 3-0 |
| Oct 08 | AEL vs Ethnikos … | 1-0 |
| Oct 01 | AEL vs Anorthosis | 1-3 |
| Sep 16 | AEL vs Omonia Ni… | 0-0 |
| Aug 12 | AEL vs Anorthosis | 0-0 |
| May 24 | AEL vs Omonia Ni… | 0-1 |
| May 13 | AEL vs Anorthosis | 2-0 |
| May 09 | AEL vs Paris FC | 1-0 |
| Apr 30 | AEL vs Olympiako… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | AEL vs Olympiako… | 1-0 |
Aris Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 19 | Aris vs Anorthosis | 3-1 |
| Apr 12 | Aris vs Anorthosis | 2-3 |
| Feb 18 | Aris vs Apollon L… | 1-3 |
| Jan 04 | Aris vs Anorthosis | 1-0 |
| Dec 11 | Aris vs AEL | 0-0 |
| Dec 11 | Aris vs Omonia Ni… | 1-0 |
| Nov 12 | Aris vs Apollon L… | 2-0 |
| Sep 16 | Aris vs Anorthosis | 1-1 |
| Aug 29 | Aris vs Omonia Ni… | 1-0 |
| Aug 28 | Aris vs AEL | 2-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Aris in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
- AEL struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | AEL | 0 - 0 | Aris | First Division |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Aris | 2 - 1 | AEL | First Division |
| Jan 31, 2022 | Aris | 1 - 2 | AEL | First Division |
| Oct 30, 2021 | AEL | 0 - 1 | Aris | First Division |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
AEL Power
0
Aris Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
7
AEL Position-2
Position Gap5
Aris Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.