First Division · Feb 18, 2024 17:00

Aris
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT

AEL
PWR 35
67% H 21% D 12% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Aris to win (61% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
61%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (19%) 3-0 (18%) 1-0 (13%) 0-0 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-1 (4%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Aris Form WWWWL
UP
AEL Form LDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.553%
BTTS17%
Under 2.547%
Aris Goals
0
5%
1
15%
2
23%
3
22%
4
17%
AEL Goals
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.95
Aris
vs
0.20
AEL
Decision Breakdown
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum94%
Standings65%
Market50%
League Standings
#5
Aris
+2
Gap
#7
AEL
WR 80% 37 pts WR 40% 30 pts
Aris 16.0%
Jan 07 Aris v Omonia … 2-0
Dec 04 Aris v AEL 0-4
May 19 Aris v Anortho… 3-1
Apr 12 Aris v Anortho… 2-3
Feb 18 Aris v Apollon… 1-3
Jan 04 Aris v Anortho… 1-0
Dec 11 Aris v AEL 0-0
Dec 11 Aris v Omonia … 1-0
Nov 12 Aris v Apollon… 2-0
Sep 16 Aris v Anortho… 1-1
AEL 2.0%
Feb 14 AEL v AEK Lar… 2-3
Jan 20 AEL v Ethniko… 1-1
Jan 13 AEL v Anortho… 1-0
Jan 02 AEL v Omonia … 3-1
Dec 04 AEL v Aris 0-4
Nov 27 AEL v AEK Lar… 3-0
Oct 08 AEL v Ethniko… 1-0
Oct 01 AEL v Anortho… 1-3
Sep 16 AEL v Omonia … 0-0
Aug 12 AEL v Anortho… 0-0
Head-to-Head (5)
Dec 04, 2023 AEL 0-4 Aris
Dec 11, 2022 AEL 0-0 Aris
Aug 28, 2022 Aris 2-1 AEL
Jan 31, 2022 Aris 1-2 AEL
Oct 30, 2021 AEL 0-1 Aris
Key Factors
Aris in strong form (4W in last 5)
AEL struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.