First Division · Feb 23, 2025 17:00

Aris
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT

AEL
PWR 35
69% H 20% D 11% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Aris to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (20%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (9%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Aris Form WDWWW
STABLE
AEL Form LLLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS17%
Under 2.560%
Aris Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
AEL Goals
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Aris
vs
0.21
AEL
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Aris
+2
Gap
#7
AEL
WR 80% 37 pts WR 40% 30 pts
Aris 18.0%
Feb 15 Aris v Anortho… 0-3
Jan 19 Aris v Omonia … 0-0
Nov 24 Aris v AEL 0-3
Nov 09 Aris v Anortho… 3-0
Oct 06 Aris v Omonia … 2-0
May 11 Aris v Anortho… 0-4
Apr 17 Aris v Omonia … 0-0
Apr 10 Aris v Omonia … 0-3
Apr 06 Aris v Omonia … 3-0
Mar 31 Aris v Anortho… 1-1
AEL 2.0%
Feb 08 AEL v Anortho… 0-1
Feb 02 AEL v AEK Lar… 2-0
Jan 28 AEL v Omonia … 3-0
Jan 19 AEL v Ethniko… 0-0
Jan 12 AEL v Omonia … 0-4
Dec 22 AEL v Omonia … 2-2
Nov 30 AEL v Enosis 0-0
Nov 24 AEL v Aris 0-3
Nov 04 AEL v Anortho… 1-0
Oct 27 AEL v AEK Lar… 1-1
Head-to-Head (7)
Nov 24, 2024 AEL 0-3 Aris
Feb 18, 2024 Aris 4-0 AEL
Dec 04, 2023 AEL 0-4 Aris
Dec 11, 2022 AEL 0-0 Aris
Aug 28, 2022 Aris 2-1 AEL
Jan 31, 2022 Aris 1-2 AEL
Oct 30, 2021 AEL 0-1 Aris
Key Factors
Aris in strong form (4W in last 5)
AEL struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.