First Division · Feb 23, 2025 17:00

Aris
PWR 35

AEL
PWR 35

Aris
PWR 35
4 - 0
FT

AEL
PWR 35
69% H
20% D
11% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Aris to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (22%)
1-0 (20%)
3-0 (16%)
0-0 (9%)
2-1 (5%)
1-1 (4%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 4-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 2 rules · 71%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Aris Form
WDWWW
STABLE
AEL Form
LLLDL
DOWN
Score & Markets
Over 2.540%
BTTS17%
Under 2.560%
Aris Goals
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
AEL Goals
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Arisvs
0.21
AELDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum93%
Standings65%
Market50%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Aris+2
Gap#7
AEL
WR 80% 37 pts
WR 40% 30 pts
Aris
18.0%
| Feb 15 | Aris v Anortho… | 0-3 |
| Jan 19 | Aris v Omonia … | 0-0 |
| Nov 24 | Aris v AEL | 0-3 |
| Nov 09 | Aris v Anortho… | 3-0 |
| Oct 06 | Aris v Omonia … | 2-0 |
| May 11 | Aris v Anortho… | 0-4 |
| Apr 17 | Aris v Omonia … | 0-0 |
| Apr 10 | Aris v Omonia … | 0-3 |
| Apr 06 | Aris v Omonia … | 3-0 |
| Mar 31 | Aris v Anortho… | 1-1 |
AEL
2.0%
| Feb 08 | AEL v Anortho… | 0-1 |
| Feb 02 | AEL v AEK Lar… | 2-0 |
| Jan 28 | AEL v Omonia … | 3-0 |
| Jan 19 | AEL v Ethniko… | 0-0 |
| Jan 12 | AEL v Omonia … | 0-4 |
| Dec 22 | AEL v Omonia … | 2-2 |
| Nov 30 | AEL v Enosis | 0-0 |
| Nov 24 | AEL v Aris | 0-3 |
| Nov 04 | AEL v Anortho… | 1-0 |
| Oct 27 | AEL v AEK Lar… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Nov 24, 2024 | AEL | 0-3 | Aris |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Aris | 4-0 | AEL |
| Dec 04, 2023 | AEL | 0-4 | Aris |
| Dec 11, 2022 | AEL | 0-0 | Aris |
| Aug 28, 2022 | Aris | 2-1 | AEL |
| Jan 31, 2022 | Aris | 1-2 | AEL |
| Oct 30, 2021 | AEL | 0-1 | Aris |
Key Factors
Aris in strong form (4W in last 5)
AEL struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.