AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligi kuu Bara Feb 11, 2026

Simba

Home
VS
13:00

Kitayosce

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Simba Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Kitayosce Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.70 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.5
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Simba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Kitayosce Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (15%) 3-0 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Simba Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Simba vs ES Tunis 2-2
Jan 29 Simba vs Mashujaa 2-0
Jan 24 Simba vs ES Tunis 1-0
Jan 18 Simba vs Mtibwa Su… 1-1
Dec 07 Simba vs Azam 0-2
Dec 04 Simba vs Mbeya Cit… 3-0
Nov 30 Simba vs Stade Mal… 2-1
Nov 27 Simba vs Tanganyika 1-2
Nov 23 Simba vs Petro de … 0-1
Nov 17 Simba vs Sanga Bal… 1-0
Kitayosce Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Kitayosce vs Coastal U… 1-1
Jan 29 Kitayosce vs Azam 2-0
Jan 23 Kitayosce vs KMC 3-0
Dec 06 Kitayosce vs Singida F… 1-3
Nov 29 Kitayosce vs Mtibwa Su… 2-1
Nov 26 Kitayosce vs JKT Tanza… 1-0
Nov 22 Kitayosce vs Tanzania … 1-0
Oct 22 Kitayosce vs Mashujaa 0-0
Sep 28 Kitayosce vs Pamba Jiji 0-0
Sep 20 Kitayosce vs Dodoma Ji… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 02, 2025 Kitayosce 0 - 3 Simba Ligi kuu Bara
Aug 18, 2024 Simba 3 - 0 Kitayosce Ligi kuu Bara
May 06, 2024 Simba 2 - 0 Kitayosce Ligi kuu Bara
Feb 06, 2024 Kitayosce 0 - 4 Simba Ligi kuu Bara
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Simba Power 0
Kitayosce Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Simba Position

+3

Position Gap

9

Kitayosce Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 17%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.