AI Match Insights
League Cup Jul 20, 2024
Dundee Utd
HomeVS
16:15
Ayr Utd
AwayAI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Dundee Utd Win
Draw
Ayr Utd Win
Away Win
(38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 48%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.38 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dundee Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Ayr Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%)
0-0 (19%)
2-0 (18%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (7%)
0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
18%
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
Under 2.5 Goals
77%
Dundee Utd Form 2.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 13 | Dundee Utd vs Falkirk | 2-0 |
| May 18 | Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock | 1-1 |
| May 14 | Dundee Utd vs Rangers FC | 5-2 |
| May 11 | Dundee Utd vs Heart of … | 3-0 |
| May 04 | Dundee Utd vs St. Mirren | 1-3 |
| May 03 | Dundee Utd vs Partick | 4-1 |
| Apr 26 | Dundee Utd vs Airdrieon… | 0-0 |
| Apr 20 | Dundee Utd vs Ayr Utd | 1-0 |
| Apr 17 | Dundee Utd vs Rangers FC | 0-0 |
| Apr 13 | Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen | 0-0 |
Ayr Utd Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| May 03 | Ayr Utd vs Dunfermli… | 3-3 |
| Apr 27 | Ayr Utd vs Partick | 0-0 |
| Apr 20 | Ayr Utd vs Dundee Utd | 1-0 |
| Apr 13 | Ayr Utd vs Arbroath | 5-0 |
| Apr 09 | Ayr Utd vs Morton | 1-1 |
| Apr 06 | Ayr Utd vs Raith Rov… | 2-1 |
| Mar 29 | Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… | 2-1 |
| Mar 23 | Ayr Utd vs Queen's P… | 1-2 |
| Mar 16 | Ayr Utd vs Inverness… | 1-2 |
| Mar 02 | Ayr Utd vs Dunfermli… | 2-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Dundee Utd struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Dundee Utd | 1 - 0 | Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Feb 03, 2024 | Ayr Utd | 1 - 2 | Dundee Utd | Championship |
| Dec 09, 2023 | Dundee Utd | 1 - 0 | Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Ayr Utd | 0 - 3 | Dundee Utd | Championship |
| Aug 14, 2021 | Ayr Utd | 1 - 1 | Dundee Utd | League Cup |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Dundee Utd to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Dundee Utd Power
0
Ayr Utd Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.