AI Match Insights

League Cup Jul 20, 2024

Dundee Utd

Home
VS
16:15

Ayr Utd

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Dundee Utd Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Ayr Utd Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.38 - 0.28
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dundee Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Ayr Utd Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (26%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Dundee Utd Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 13 Dundee Utd vs Falkirk 2-0
May 18 Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock 1-1
May 14 Dundee Utd vs Rangers FC 5-2
May 11 Dundee Utd vs Heart of … 3-0
May 04 Dundee Utd vs St. Mirren 1-3
May 03 Dundee Utd vs Partick 4-1
Apr 26 Dundee Utd vs Airdrieon… 0-0
Apr 20 Dundee Utd vs Ayr Utd 1-0
Apr 17 Dundee Utd vs Rangers FC 0-0
Apr 13 Dundee Utd vs Aberdeen 0-0
Ayr Utd Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 03 Ayr Utd vs Dunfermli… 3-3
Apr 27 Ayr Utd vs Partick 0-0
Apr 20 Ayr Utd vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Apr 13 Ayr Utd vs Arbroath 5-0
Apr 09 Ayr Utd vs Morton 1-1
Apr 06 Ayr Utd vs Raith Rov… 2-1
Mar 29 Ayr Utd vs Airdrieon… 2-1
Mar 23 Ayr Utd vs Queen's P… 1-2
Mar 16 Ayr Utd vs Inverness… 1-2
Mar 02 Ayr Utd vs Dunfermli… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dundee Utd struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 20, 2024 Dundee Utd 1 - 0 Ayr Utd Championship
Feb 03, 2024 Ayr Utd 1 - 2 Dundee Utd Championship
Dec 09, 2023 Dundee Utd 1 - 0 Ayr Utd Championship
Aug 26, 2023 Ayr Utd 0 - 3 Dundee Utd Championship
Aug 14, 2021 Ayr Utd 1 - 1 Dundee Utd League Cup
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Dundee Utd to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dundee Utd Power 0
Ayr Utd Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.