AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
3. Liga Feb 08, 2026

MSV Duisburg

Home
VS
18:30

Verl

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
MSV Duisburg Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Verl Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 1.94 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
MSV Duisburg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Verl Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
MSV Duisburg Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 MSV Duisb… vs SSV Ulm 1… 1-0
Jan 24 MSV Duisb… vs Jahn Rege… 2-0
Jan 18 MSV Duisb… vs Stuttgart… 0-4
Dec 21 MSV Duisb… vs FC Viktor… 0-0
Dec 13 MSV Duisb… vs Erzgebirg… 0-0
Dec 06 MSV Duisb… vs Energie C… 3-2
Nov 29 MSV Duisb… vs Alemannia… 3-1
Nov 21 MSV Duisb… vs Hoffenhei… 4-1
Nov 07 MSV Duisb… vs Waldhof M… 2-1
Nov 01 MSV Duisb… vs VfL Osnab… 0-0
Verl Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Verl vs Stuttgart… 4-0
Jan 25 Verl vs SV Wehen 2-1
Jan 17 Verl vs Waldhof M… 5-2
Dec 20 Verl vs TSV 1860 … 0-2
Dec 13 Verl vs Rot-Weiß … 0-0
Dec 06 Verl vs Havelse 2-2
Nov 30 Verl vs VfL Osnab… 4-1
Nov 22 Verl vs FC Viktor… 1-5
Nov 08 Verl vs Erzgebirg… 1-1
Nov 01 Verl vs Hansa Ros… 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Verl in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2025 Verl 2 - 3 MSV Duisburg 3. Liga
Final Verdict

PRO: Verl to win (69% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 0-2 69% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
MSV Duisburg Power 14
Verl Power 70
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

MSV Duisburg Position

-1

Position Gap

2

Verl Position
Home Win Rate: 70%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.