AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 2 Jan 31, 2026

Saint-Étienne

Home
VS
19:00

Boulogne

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Saint-Étienne Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Boulogne Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 76%
Market 64%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 47%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.5
xG: 2.84 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 0.7 Position gap: 8 places Market confidence: 61% Asian Handicap: Home -1.5
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Saint-Étienne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Boulogne Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Saint-Étienne Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Saint-Éti… vs Reims 1-0
Jan 17 Saint-Éti… vs Clermont … 1-0
Jan 03 Saint-Éti… vs Le Mans 0-0
Dec 21 Saint-Éti… vs Nice 2-1
Dec 13 Saint-Éti… vs Bastia 2-2
Dec 06 Saint-Éti… vs Dunkerque 1-0
Nov 29 Saint-Éti… vs Ecotay Mo… 11-1
Nov 22 Saint-Éti… vs Nancy 2-1
Nov 15 Saint-Éti… vs Quetigny 1-3
Nov 08 Saint-Éti… vs Estac Tro… 2-3
Boulogne Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Boulogne vs RED Star … 2-2
Jan 16 Boulogne vs Montpelli… 1-0
Jan 03 Boulogne vs Guingamp 3-0
Dec 15 Boulogne vs Estac Tro… 1-2
Dec 05 Boulogne vs Clermont … 1-1
Nov 21 Boulogne vs Grenoble 3-1
Nov 16 Boulogne vs Dunkerque 2-2
Nov 07 Boulogne vs Dunkerque 1-1
Oct 31 Boulogne vs Annecy 1-1
Oct 28 Boulogne vs Reims 2-6
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Boulogne to win (57% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 0-1 57% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE POWER_AWAY_25+ SCORING_THREAT_AWAY
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Saint-Étienne Power 0
Boulogne Power 32
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Saint-Étienne Position

+8

Position Gap

13

Boulogne Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 27%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.