Ligue 2 · Feb 07, 2026 19:00
Saint-Étienne
PWR 35
Montpellier HSC
PWR 37
Saint-Étienne
PWR 35
1 - 0
FT
Montpellier HSC
PWR 37
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Saint-Étienne to win (58% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
58%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-0 (11%)
1-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
3-0 (9%)
1-1 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSN/A
LOST - Actual: 1-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 35%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (26.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack34
Defense70
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G1.0
Saint-Étienne Form
LLWDD
DOWN
Montpellier HSC Form
LWWLW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.558%
BTTS51%
Under 2.542%
Saint-Étien… Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
27%
3
20%
4
12%
Montpellier… Goals
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.30
Saint-Étiennevs
0.84
Montpellier HSCDecision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum86%
Standings72%
Market50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#4
Saint-Étien…+6
Gap#10
Montpellier…
WR 55% 37 pts
WR 36% 31 pts
Saint-Étienne
8.0%
| Jan 31 | Saint-É… v Boulogne | 0-1 |
| Jan 24 | Saint-É… v Reims | 1-0 |
| Jan 17 | Saint-É… v Clermon… | 1-0 |
| Jan 03 | Saint-É… v Le Mans | 0-0 |
| Dec 13 | Saint-É… v Bastia | 2-2 |
| Dec 06 | Saint-É… v Dunkerq… | 1-0 |
| Nov 22 | Saint-É… v Nancy | 2-1 |
| Nov 08 | Saint-É… v Estac T… | 2-3 |
| Nov 01 | Saint-É… v RED Sta… | 2-1 |
| Oct 28 | Saint-É… v Pau FC | 6-0 |
Montpellier HSC
12.0%
| Feb 04 | Montpel… v Nice | 3-2 |
| Jan 30 | Montpel… v Guingamp | 3-1 |
| Jan 23 | Montpel… v Bastia | 0-2 |
| Jan 16 | Montpel… v Boulogne | 1-0 |
| Jan 11 | Montpel… v Metz | 0-4 |
| Jan 05 | Montpel… v Dunkerq… | 1-3 |
| Dec 19 | Montpel… v Canet R… | 0-1 |
| Dec 13 | Montpel… v Grenoble | 1-1 |
| Dec 06 | Montpel… v Pau FC | 0-1 |
| Nov 24 | Montpel… v Reims | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Oct 04, 2025 | Montpellier H… | 0-2 | Saint-Étienne |
Key Factors
Montpellier HSC in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.