AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Serie B Feb 11, 2026

Sudtirol

Home
VS
18:00

Monza

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Sudtirol Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Monza Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 90%
Standings 36%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.25 - 0.50
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.5
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sudtirol Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Monza Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (14%) 3-0 (12%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (7%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Sudtirol Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Sudtirol vs Catanzaro 2-1
Jan 25 Sudtirol vs Padova 3-0
Jan 17 Sudtirol vs Empoli 0-1
Jan 10 Sudtirol vs Spezia 2-1
Dec 27 Sudtirol vs Juve Stab… 1-0
Dec 21 Sudtirol vs Virtus En… 1-1
Dec 13 Sudtirol vs Bari 0-0
Dec 08 Sudtirol vs Monza 1-1
Nov 29 Sudtirol vs Avellino 0-1
Nov 23 Sudtirol vs Modena 0-0
Monza Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Monza vs Padova 1-2
Jan 24 Monza vs Pescara 3-0
Jan 17 Monza vs Frosinone 2-2
Jan 10 Monza vs Virtus En… 1-0
Dec 26 Monza vs Modena 1-2
Dec 20 Monza vs Carrarese 4-1
Dec 13 Monza vs Venezia 2-0
Dec 08 Monza vs Sudtirol 1-1
Nov 30 Monza vs Juve Stab… 2-2
Nov 23 Monza vs Cesena 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sudtirol in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Monza in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 08, 2025 Monza 1 - 1 Sudtirol Serie B
Dec 29, 2024 Monza 0 - 0 Sudtirol Pro League
Aug 17, 2024 Sudtirol 2 - 1 Monza Pro League
Aug 09, 2024 Monza 0 - 0 Sudtirol Coppa Italia
Apr 27, 2024 Monza 1 - 0 Sudtirol Pro League
Apr 27, 2024 Monza 1 - 0 Sudtirol Serie B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sudtirol Power 35
Monza Power 43
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Sudtirol Position

-7

Position Gap

3

Monza Position
Home Win Rate: 46%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.