FA Cup · Jan 17, 2026 15:00
Airdrieonians
PWR 57
Arbroath
PWR 43
Airdrieonians
PWR 57
2 - 2
FT
Arbroath
PWR 43
37% H
27% D
36% A
Final Verdict
ELITE: Airdrieonians to win (85% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
85%
Confidence
ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Match Analyzer ELITE
Most Likely Scores:
0-0 (16%)
0-1 (16%)
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (13%)
0-2 (7%)
1-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
STANDARD · 2 rules · 55%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPHOME_FORM
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line for draw protection
AH_025
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 2)
Power & Form
Attack70
Defense45
Goals/G2.0
Conc/G1.6
Attack44
Defense56
Goals/G1.3
Conc/G1.3
Airdrieonians Form
DWDDL
STABLE
Arbroath Form
WWLDW
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.527%
BTTS35%
Under 2.573%
Airdrieonia… Goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
Arbroath Goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Airdrieoniansvs
0.95
ArbroathDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings50%
Market35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#9
Airdrieonia…+42
Gap#51
Arbroath
WR 57% 13 pts
WR 25% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airdrieonians | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 13 |
| Arbroath | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Airdrieonians
10.0%
| Jan 10 | Airdrie… v Ayr Utd | 1-1 |
| Jan 06 | Airdrie… v Montrose | 3-1 |
| Jan 03 | Airdrie… v Raith R… | 0-0 |
| Dec 27 | Airdrie… v Arbroath | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Airdrie… v Queen's… | 0-3 |
| Dec 13 | Airdrie… v Morton | 0-1 |
| Dec 09 | Airdrie… v Alloa A… | 2-3 |
| Dec 06 | Airdrie… v Ross Co… | 1-2 |
| Nov 29 | Airdrie… v Hamilto… | 4-0 |
| Nov 22 | Airdrie… v Ayr Utd | 0-1 |
Arbroath
14.0%
| Jan 13 | Arbroath v East Fi… | 3-0 |
| Jan 10 | Arbroath v Raith R… | 2-3 |
| Jan 03 | Arbroath v ST John… | 1-0 |
| Dec 27 | Arbroath v Airdrie… | 1-1 |
| Dec 20 | Arbroath v Ross Co… | 0-2 |
| Dec 13 | Arbroath v Partick | 2-1 |
| Dec 09 | Arbroath v Kelty H… | 3-2 |
| Dec 06 | Arbroath v Dunferm… | 1-2 |
| Nov 29 | Arbroath v East Fi… | 0-2 |
| Nov 22 | Arbroath v Raith R… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 27, 2025 | Arbroath | 1-1 | Airdrieonians |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Airdrieonians | 1-0 | Arbroath |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Arbroath | 1-0 | Airdrieonians |
| Apr 02, 2024 | Arbroath | 1-2 | Airdrieonians |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Airdrieonians | 5-2 | Arbroath |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Airdrieonians | 2-0 | Arbroath |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Arbroath | 4-0 | Airdrieonians |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Arbroath | 3-0 | Airdrieonians |
Key Factors
Arbroath in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.