AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Championship Feb 07, 2026

Coventry

Home
VS
15:01

Oxford United

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Coventry Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Oxford United Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 95%
Market 50%
Combined: 57% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.09 - 0.72
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.7 Position gap: 22 places
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Coventry Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Oxford United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (13%) 1-0 (13%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Coventry Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Coventry vs QPR 2-1
Jan 26 Coventry vs Norwich C… 2-1
Jan 20 Coventry vs Millwall 2-1
Jan 17 Coventry vs Leicester 2-1
Jan 10 Coventry vs Stoke City 1-0
Jan 04 Coventry vs Birmingham 3-2
Jan 01 Coventry vs Charlton 1-1
Dec 29 Coventry vs Ipswich 0-2
Dec 26 Coventry vs Swansea 1-0
Dec 20 Coventry vs Southampt… 1-1
Oxford United Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Oxford Un… vs Sheffield… 3-1
Jan 31 Oxford Un… vs Birmingham 0-2
Jan 24 Oxford Un… vs Leicester 1-2
Jan 20 Oxford Un… vs QPR 0-0
Jan 17 Oxford Un… vs Bristol C… 0-0
Jan 09 Oxford Un… vs Milton Ke… 1-1
Jan 01 Oxford Un… vs Ipswich 2-1
Dec 29 Oxford Un… vs Swansea 0-1
Dec 26 Oxford Un… vs Southampt… 2-1
Dec 20 Oxford Un… vs Charlton 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Coventry struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 30, 2025 Oxford United 2 - 2 Coventry Championship
Mar 01, 2025 Oxford United 2 - 3 Coventry Championship
Aug 27, 2024 Coventry 1 - 0 Oxford United League Cup
Aug 16, 2024 Coventry 3 - 2 Oxford United Championship
Aug 16, 2024 Coventry 3 - 2 Oxford United Pro League
Jan 06, 2024 Coventry 6 - 2 Oxford United FA Cup
Jul 16, 2022 Oxford United 0 - 2 Coventry Friendlies Clu…
Final Verdict

ELITE: Coventry to win (93% confidence)

ELITE Tier
Predicted: 1-0 93% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 22
Coventry Power 45
Oxford United Power 30
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Coventry Position

+22

Position Gap

23

Oxford United Position
Home Win Rate: 79%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.