AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Feb 01, 2026

Toulouse

Home
VS
16:15

Auxerre

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Toulouse Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Auxerre Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 93%
Standings 74%
Market 58%
Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 34%
Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
xG: 2.14 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.2 Position gap: 9 places Asian Handicap: Home -1.25
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Toulouse Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Auxerre Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (22%) 1-0 (21%) 3-0 (16%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (4%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Toulouse Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 25 Toulouse vs Stade Bre… 0-2
Jan 17 Toulouse vs Nice 5-1
Jan 10 Toulouse vs Angers 1-1
Jan 02 Toulouse vs Lens 0-3
Dec 20 Toulouse vs Lyon Duch… 1-2
Dec 13 Toulouse vs Paris FC 0-3
Dec 06 Toulouse vs Strasbourg 1-0
Nov 29 Toulouse vs Marseille 2-2
Nov 23 Toulouse vs Angers 0-1
Nov 09 Toulouse vs Lorient 1-1
Auxerre Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 23 Auxerre vs Paris Sai… 0-1
Jan 17 Auxerre vs Lens 1-0
Jan 04 Auxerre vs Stade Bre… 2-0
Dec 21 Auxerre vs Monaco 1-2
Dec 14 Auxerre vs Lille 3-4
Dec 07 Auxerre vs Metz 3-1
Nov 29 Auxerre vs Paris FC 1-1
Nov 23 Auxerre vs Lyon 0-0
Nov 09 Auxerre vs Angers 2-0
Nov 01 Auxerre vs Marseille 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Toulouse in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Auxerre struggling (5L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 21, 2025 Auxerre 1 - 0 Toulouse Ligue 1
Feb 09, 2025 Auxerre 2 - 2 Toulouse Ligue 1
Dec 01, 2024 Toulouse 2 - 0 Auxerre Ligue 1
Dec 01, 2024 Toulouse 2 - 0 Auxerre Pro League
May 27, 2023 Toulouse 1 - 1 Auxerre Ligue 1
Jan 11, 2023 Auxerre 0 - 5 Toulouse Ligue 1
Mar 19, 2022 Auxerre 1 - 2 Toulouse Ligue 2
Oct 16, 2021 Toulouse 6 - 0 Auxerre Ligue 2
Feb 02, 2021 Auxerre 3 - 1 Toulouse Ligue 2
Sep 26, 2020 Toulouse 3 - 1 Auxerre Ligue 2
Final Verdict

PRO: Toulouse to win (72% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 72% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Toulouse Power 39
Auxerre Power 27
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Toulouse Position

+9

Position Gap

17

Auxerre Position
Home Win Rate: 36%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.