Ligue 1 · Feb 08, 2026 19:45

Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
2-1
predicted

Marseille
PWR 48
55% H 23% D 22% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Paris Saint Germain to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-0 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests) AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack69
Defense67
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.1
Paris Saint Ge… Form WWWLW
UP
Marseille Form WDLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.571%
BTTS68%
Under 2.529%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
4%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Marseille Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.12
Paris Saint Ge…
vs
1.24
Marseille
Decision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings65%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Paris Saint…
+2
Gap
#3
Marseille
WR 89% 48 pts WR 50% 39 pts
Paris Saint Ge… 16.0%
Feb 01 Paris S… v Strasbo… 1-2
Jan 28 Paris S… v Newcast… 1-0
Jan 23 Paris S… v Auxerre 0-1
Jan 20 Paris S… v Sportin… 2-1
Jan 16 Paris S… v Lille 3-0
Jan 12 Paris S… v Paris FC 0-1
Jan 08 Paris S… v Marseil… 2-2
Jan 04 Paris S… v Paris FC 2-1
Dec 13 Paris S… v Metz 2-3
Dec 10 Paris S… v Athleti… 0-0
Marseille 10.0%
Feb 03 Marseil… v Rennes … 3-0
Jan 31 Marseil… v Paris FC 2-2
Jan 28 Marseil… v Club Br… 2-0
Jan 24 Marseil… v Lens 3-1
Jan 21 Marseil… v Liverpo… 0-3
Jan 17 Marseil… v Angers 2-5
Jan 08 Marseil… v Paris S… 2-2
Jan 04 Marseil… v Nantes 0-2
Dec 14 Marseil… v Monaco 1-0
Dec 09 Marseil… v Union S… 2-3
Head-to-Head (10)
Jan 08, 2026 Paris Saint G… 2-2 Marseille
Sep 22, 2025 Marseille 1-0 Paris Saint G…
Mar 16, 2025 Paris Saint G… 3-1 Marseille
Oct 27, 2024 Marseille 0-3 Paris Saint G…
Mar 31, 2024 Marseille 0-2 Paris Saint G…
Sep 24, 2023 Paris Saint G… 4-0 Marseille
Feb 26, 2023 Marseille 0-3 Paris Saint G…
Feb 08, 2023 Marseille 2-1 Paris Saint G…
Oct 16, 2022 Paris Saint G… 1-0 Marseille
Apr 17, 2022 Paris Saint G… 2-1 Marseille
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.