Ligue 1 · Feb 08, 2026 19:45

Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49

Marseille
PWR 48

Paris Saint Germain
PWR 49
2-1
predicted

Marseille
PWR 48
55% H
23% D
22% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Paris Saint Germain to win (79% confidence)
Prediction
2-1
Score
79%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
3-1 (8%)
2-1 (8%)
3-0 (6%)
2-0 (6%)
3-2 (5%)
1-1 (5%)
1X2H
Over/UnderOVER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 3 rules · 72%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy42%
HOME_WIN_RATEHOME_TOP_POSITIONHOME_SCORING
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskStrong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 3)
Power & Form
Attack65
Defense76
Goals/G2.2
Conc/G0.8
Attack69
Defense67
Goals/G2.3
Conc/G1.1
Paris Saint Ge… Form
WWWLW
UP
Marseille Form
WDLWL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.571%
BTTS68%
Under 2.529%
Paris Saint… Goals
0
4%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Marseille Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
3.12
Paris Saint Ge…vs
1.24
MarseilleDecision Breakdown
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum92%
Standings65%
Market50%
League Standings
#1
Paris Saint…+2
Gap#3
Marseille
WR 89% 48 pts
WR 50% 39 pts
Paris Saint Ge…
16.0%
| Feb 01 | Paris S… v Strasbo… | 1-2 |
| Jan 28 | Paris S… v Newcast… | 1-0 |
| Jan 23 | Paris S… v Auxerre | 0-1 |
| Jan 20 | Paris S… v Sportin… | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | Paris S… v Lille | 3-0 |
| Jan 12 | Paris S… v Paris FC | 0-1 |
| Jan 08 | Paris S… v Marseil… | 2-2 |
| Jan 04 | Paris S… v Paris FC | 2-1 |
| Dec 13 | Paris S… v Metz | 2-3 |
| Dec 10 | Paris S… v Athleti… | 0-0 |
Marseille
10.0%
| Feb 03 | Marseil… v Rennes … | 3-0 |
| Jan 31 | Marseil… v Paris FC | 2-2 |
| Jan 28 | Marseil… v Club Br… | 2-0 |
| Jan 24 | Marseil… v Lens | 3-1 |
| Jan 21 | Marseil… v Liverpo… | 0-3 |
| Jan 17 | Marseil… v Angers | 2-5 |
| Jan 08 | Marseil… v Paris S… | 2-2 |
| Jan 04 | Marseil… v Nantes | 0-2 |
| Dec 14 | Marseil… v Monaco | 1-0 |
| Dec 09 | Marseil… v Union S… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jan 08, 2026 | Paris Saint G… | 2-2 | Marseille |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Marseille | 1-0 | Paris Saint G… |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Paris Saint G… | 3-1 | Marseille |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Marseille | 0-3 | Paris Saint G… |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Marseille | 0-2 | Paris Saint G… |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Paris Saint G… | 4-0 | Marseille |
| Feb 26, 2023 | Marseille | 0-3 | Paris Saint G… |
| Feb 08, 2023 | Marseille | 2-1 | Paris Saint G… |
| Oct 16, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 1-0 | Marseille |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Paris Saint G… | 2-1 | Marseille |
Key Factors
Paris Saint Germain in strong form (4W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.