Ligue 1 · Feb 06, 2026 19:45
Metz
PWR 22
Lille
PWR 37
Metz
PWR 22
0 - 0
FT
Lille
PWR 37
45% H
25% D
30% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Lille to win (60% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
60%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (8%)
2-2 (7%)
1-1 (7%)
3-1 (6%)
1-2 (6%)
3-2 (6%)
1X2H
Over/UnderN/A
BTTSBTTS_YES
LOST - Actual: 0-0
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy42%
Full data available (Tier 1)Large gap = lower draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskElite league - reduced thresholdBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 0)
Power & Form
Attack32
Defense31
Goals/G1.1
Conc/G2.3
Attack51
Defense55
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.5
Metz Form
LLLLD
DOWN
Lille Form
LDLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.574%
BTTS75%
Under 2.526%
Metz Goals
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Lille Goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Metzvs
1.79
LilleDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum67%
Standings30%
Market35%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#18
Metz-13
Gap#5
Lille
WR 20% 13 pts
WR 36% 33 pts
Metz
2.0%
| Feb 01 | Metz v Angers | 1-0 |
| Jan 25 | Metz v Lyon | 2-5 |
| Jan 18 | Metz v Strasbo… | 2-1 |
| Jan 11 | Metz v Montpel… | 0-4 |
| Jan 04 | Metz v Lorient | 1-1 |
| Dec 13 | Metz v Paris S… | 2-3 |
| Dec 07 | Metz v Auxerre | 3-1 |
| Nov 28 | Metz v Rennes … | 0-1 |
| Nov 23 | Metz v Stade B… | 3-2 |
| Nov 09 | Metz v Nice | 2-1 |
Lille
2.0%
| Feb 01 | Lille v Lyon | 1-0 |
| Jan 29 | Lille v SC Frei… | 0-0 |
| Jan 25 | Lille v Strasbo… | 1-4 |
| Jan 22 | Lille v Celta d… | 2-1 |
| Jan 16 | Lille v Paris S… | 3-0 |
| Jan 11 | Lille v Lyon | 1-2 |
| Jan 03 | Lille v Rennes … | 0-2 |
| Dec 14 | Lille v Auxerre | 3-4 |
| Dec 11 | Lille v BSC You… | 1-0 |
| Dec 05 | Lille v Marseil… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Oct 26, 2025 | Lille | 6-1 | Metz |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Metz | 1-2 | Lille |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Metz | 1-2 | Lille |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Lille | 2-0 | Metz |
| Dec 03, 2023 | Lille | 2-0 | Metz |
| Feb 18, 2022 | Lille | 0-0 | Metz |
| Aug 08, 2021 | Metz | 3-3 | Lille |
| Apr 09, 2021 | Metz | 0-2 | Lille |
| Sep 13, 2020 | Lille | 1-0 | Metz |
Key Factors
Metz struggling (4L in last 5)
Lille struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.