Copa EspĂrito Santo · Jul 27, 2024 18:00
Vitoria
PWR 60
Vitoria
PWR 60
2 - 2
FT
Porto VitĂłria
PWR 67
PWR 67
33% H
27% D
40% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (62% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
62%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (11%)
1-1 (11%)
2-0 (10%)
2-1 (10%)
0-0 (6%)
0-1 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 1 rules · 70%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy42%
HOME_TOP_POSITION
AH: AH -0.25 - Best line (65% avg across 10 backtests)
AH_025
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ SAME_TIER: Close positions, 28.4% draw rateClose positions = higher draw riskHigh draw risk (29.4%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need 4+ rules, got 1)
Power & Form
Attack59
Defense65
Goals/G1.7
Conc/G1.0
Attack65
Defense68
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G0.9
Vitoria Form
LLWWL
DOWN
Porto VitĂłria Form
WWWWL
UP
Score & Markets
Over 2.551%
BTTS52%
Under 2.549%
Vitoria Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4
7%
Porto Vitór… Goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Vitoriavs
1.00
Porto VitĂłriaDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum71%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#3
Vitoria-2
Gap#1
Porto Vitór…
WR 55% 42 pts
WR 68% 47 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitoria | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 22 | 42 |
| Porto VitĂłria | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 41 | 20 | 47 |
Vitoria
8.0%
| Jul 20 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 2-0 |
| Jul 12 | Vitoria v Botafogo | 0-1 |
| Jul 06 | Vitoria v Vilavel… | 3-0 |
| Jul 03 | Vitoria v Real No… | 1-2 |
| Jun 23 | Vitoria v RB Brag… | 2-1 |
| Jun 16 | Vitoria v Interna… | 2-1 |
| Jun 01 | Vitoria v Porto V… | 3-1 |
| May 25 | Vitoria v Real No… | 4-4 |
| May 22 | Vitoria v Botafogo | 1-2 |
| May 18 | Vitoria v Vilavel… | 3-1 |
Porto VitĂłria
16.0%
| Jul 20 | Porto V… v Vitoria | 2-0 |
| Jul 13 | Porto V… v Desport… | 0-2 |
| Jul 05 | Porto V… v Capixab… | 3-0 |
| Jun 22 | Porto V… v Desport… | 1-0 |
| Jun 15 | Porto V… v Capixab… | 1-0 |
| Jun 01 | Porto V… v Vitoria | 3-1 |
| May 18 | Porto V… v Rio Bra… | 1-3 |
| May 08 | Porto V… v Real No… | 5-1 |
| Mar 30 | Porto V… v Rio Bra… | 2-1 |
| Mar 24 | Porto V… v Rio Bra… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jul 20, 2024 | Porto VitĂłria | 2-0 | Vitoria |
| Jun 01, 2024 | Porto VitĂłria | 3-1 | Vitoria |
| Feb 05, 2024 | Porto VitĂłria | 0-0 | Vitoria |
Key Factors
Porto VitĂłria in strong form (4W in last 5)
Vitoria struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.