AI Match Insights

Persian Gulf Pro League Nov 11, 2023

Esteghlal FC

Home
VS
12:50

Tractor

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Esteghlal FC Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Tractor Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 18%
xG: 4.50 - 0.76
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.8
Score Prediction Analysis
Esteghlal FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Tractor Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (5%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (2%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Esteghlal FC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 02 Esteghlal… vs Shams Aza… 2-2
Aug 28 Esteghlal… vs Esteghlal… 1-0
Aug 23 Esteghlal… vs Sepahan FC 1-0
Aug 17 Esteghlal… vs Malavan B… 1-0
May 31 Esteghlal… vs Persepolis 1-2
May 18 Esteghlal… vs Tractor 7-1
Apr 23 Esteghlal… vs Persepolis 1-0
Mar 31 Esteghlal… vs ZOB Ahan 2-0
Mar 06 Esteghlal… vs Gol Gohar 2-1
Feb 20 Esteghlal… vs Malavan B… 2-0
Tractor Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 Tractor vs ZOB Ahan 1-0
Oct 21 Tractor vs Shams Aza… 2-3
Oct 05 Tractor vs Aluminium… 0-4
Sep 02 Tractor vs Esteghlal… 0-1
Aug 28 Tractor vs Mes Rafsa… 1-0
Aug 16 Tractor vs Persepolis 0-1
Aug 10 Tractor vs Sepahan FC 3-1
May 18 Tractor vs Esteghlal… 7-1
Apr 23 Tractor vs Paykan 1-0
Apr 15 Tractor vs Malavan B… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tractor in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 18, 2023 Esteghlal FC 7 - 1 Tractor Persian Gulf P…
Jan 12, 2023 Esteghlal FC 2 - 1 Tractor Hazfi Cup
Jan 06, 2023 Tractor 2 - 0 Esteghlal FC Persian Gulf P…
Feb 18, 2022 Tractor 0 - 1 Esteghlal FC Persian Gulf P…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Esteghlal FC Power 0
Tractor Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Esteghlal FC Position

-3

Position Gap

1

Tractor Position

Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.