League One · Feb 08, 2025 15:00
Alloa Athletic
PWR 35
Dumbarton
PWR 41
Alloa Athletic
PWR 35
2 - 1
FT
Dumbarton
PWR 41
47% H
25% D
28% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Alloa Athletic to win (63% confidence)
Prediction
1-0
Score
63%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
1-0 (14%)
2-0 (12%)
1-1 (11%)
2-1 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
3-0 (7%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Large gap = lower draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 9.6% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack0
Defense100
Goals/G0.0
Conc/G0.0
Attack51
Defense41
Goals/G1.5
Conc/G1.7
Alloa Athletic Form
DLLLD
STABLE
Dumbarton Form
DLLLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.544%
BTTS44%
Under 2.556%
Alloa Athle… Goals
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Dumbarton Goals
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Alloa Athleticvs
0.77
DumbartonDecision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum79%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#1
Alloa Athle…+8
Gap#9
Dumbarton
WR 40% 235 pts
WR 31% 50 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alloa Athletic | 161 | 65 | 40 | 56 | 251 | 217 | 235 |
| Dumbarton | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 66 | 50 |
Alloa Athletic
4.0%
| Feb 01 | Alloa A… v Dumbart… | 1-1 |
| Jan 25 | Alloa A… v Inverne… | 1-2 |
| Jan 25 | Alloa A… v Stranra… | 0-1 |
| Jan 18 | Alloa A… v Rangers… | 2-0 |
| Jan 11 | Alloa A… v Queen o… | 1-1 |
| Jan 11 | Alloa A… v Elgin C… | 1-1 |
| Jan 04 | Alloa A… v Stenhou… | 1-1 |
| Dec 28 | Alloa A… v Stenhou… | 1-3 |
| Dec 21 | Alloa A… v Clyde | 2-0 |
| Dec 21 | Alloa A… v Rangers… | 2-0 |
Dumbarton
2.0%
| Feb 01 | Dumbart… v Alloa A… | 1-1 |
| Jan 18 | Dumbart… v Airdrie… | 1-5 |
| Jan 04 | Dumbart… v Inverne… | 2-0 |
| Dec 14 | Dumbart… v Alloa A… | 1-5 |
| Dec 07 | Dumbart… v Stenhou… | 4-0 |
| Dec 03 | Dumbart… v Alloa A… | 2-2 |
| Nov 29 | Dumbart… v Alloa A… | 3-2 |
| Oct 26 | Dumbart… v Inverne… | 3-1 |
| Oct 05 | Dumbart… v Stenhou… | 1-3 |
| Sep 14 | Dumbart… v Alloa A… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 01, 2025 | Dumbarton | 1-1 | Alloa Athletic |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Dumbarton | 1-5 | Alloa Athletic |
| Dec 03, 2024 | Alloa Athletic | 2-2 | Dumbarton |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Dumbarton | 3-2 | Alloa Athletic |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Alloa Athletic | 1-1 | Dumbarton |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Dumbarton | 3-3 | Alloa Athletic |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Alloa Athletic | 4-5 | Dumbarton |
| May 13, 2023 | Dumbarton | 0-0 | Alloa Athletic |
| May 09, 2023 | Alloa Athletic | 6-0 | Dumbarton |
| Apr 08, 2023 | Alloa Athletic | 3-1 | Dumbarton |
Key Factors
Alloa Athletic struggling (3L in last 5)
Dumbarton struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.