AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FA Cup Jun 03, 2023

Manchester City

Home
VS
14:00

Manchester United

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Manchester City Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Manchester United Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.89 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Manchester City Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Manchester United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Under 2.5 Goals 67%
Manchester City Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 28 Manchesteā€¦ vs Brentford 1-0
May 24 Manchesteā€¦ vs Brighton 1-1
May 21 Manchesteā€¦ vs Chelsea 1-0
May 17 Manchesteā€¦ vs Real Madrā€¦ 4-0
May 09 Manchesteā€¦ vs Real Madrā€¦ 1-1
May 06 Manchesteā€¦ vs Leeds 2-1
May 03 Manchesteā€¦ vs West Brom 3-0
Apr 30 Manchesteā€¦ vs Fulham 1-2
Apr 18 Manchesteā€¦ vs Crawley Tā€¦ 0-0
Apr 15 Manchesteā€¦ vs Watford 0-1
Manchester United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 28 Manchesteā€¦ vs Fulham 2-1
May 20 Manchesteā€¦ vs Bournemouā€¦ 0-1
May 13 Manchesteā€¦ vs Wolves 2-0
May 07 Manchesteā€¦ vs West Brom 1-0
May 04 Manchesteā€¦ vs Brighton 1-0
Apr 30 Manchesteā€¦ vs Aston Vilā€¦ 1-0
Apr 27 Manchesteā€¦ vs Tottenham 2-2
Apr 23 Manchesteā€¦ vs Brighton 0-0
Apr 02 Manchesteā€¦ vs Newcastleā€¦ 2-0
Mar 19 Manchesteā€¦ vs Fulham 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Manchester United in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 14, 2023 Manchester United 2 - 1 Manchester City Premier League
Oct 02, 2022 Manchester City 6 - 3 Manchester United Premier League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Manchester City to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Manchester City Power 46
Manchester United Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.