Bundesliga · Sep 30, 2023 16:30

RB Leipzig
PWR 41
2 - 2
FT

Bayern Munich
PWR 70
57% H 23% D 20% A
Final Verdict
MASTER: Bayern Munich to win (77% confidence)
Prediction
0-1
Score
77%
Confidence
MASTER
Match Analyzer MASTER
Most Likely Scores:
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 1-0 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 1-2 (8%) 0-2 (8%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 2-2
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 0%
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk17%
Accuracy42%
Standings data available (Tier 2)⚠️ Teams have similar stats - 31.8% draw probability💡 PIVOT: Under 2.5 recommended (71.2% accuracy)Strong home team = lower draw riskElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: WR diff only 10.0% (32.2% home win rate)
Power & Form
Attack57
Defense60
Goals/G1.9
Conc/G1.4
Attack100
Defense100
Goals/G5.0
Conc/G0.0
RB Leipzig Form WWLWW
STABLE
Bayern Munich Form WLWLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.538%
BTTS45%
Under 2.562%
RB Leipzig Goals
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
Bayern Muni… Goals
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
RB Leipzig
vs
1.20
Bayern Munich
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player40%
Momentum53%
Standings40%
Market50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#6
RB Leipzig
-5
Gap
#1
Bayern Muni…
WR 70% 36 pts WR 80% 51 pts
RB Leipzig 16.0%
Sep 23 RB Leip… v Borussi… 0-1
Sep 03 RB Leip… v Union B… 0-3
Aug 19 RB Leip… v Bayer L… 3-2
Aug 12 RB Leip… v Bayern … 0-3
Jun 03 RB Leip… v Eintrac… 2-0
May 20 RB Leip… v Bayern … 1-3
May 06 RB Leip… v SC Frei… 0-1
May 02 RB Leip… v SC Frei… 1-5
Apr 23 RB Leip… v Bayer L… 2-0
Apr 01 RB Leip… v FSV Mai… 0-3
Bayern Munich 8.0%
Aug 27 Bayern … v FC Augs… 3-1
Aug 12 Bayern … v RB Leip… 0-3
May 27 Bayern … v FC Koln 1-2
May 20 Bayern … v RB Leip… 1-3
Apr 22 Bayern … v FSV Mai… 3-1
Apr 15 Bayern … v 1899 Ho… 1-1
Apr 08 Bayern … v SC Frei… 0-1
Apr 04 Bayern … v SC Frei… 1-2
Mar 11 Bayern … v FC Augs… 5-3
Mar 04 Bayern … v VfB Stu… 1-2
Head-to-Head (5)
Aug 12, 2023 Bayern Munich 0-3 RB Leipzig
May 20, 2023 Bayern Munich 1-3 RB Leipzig
Jan 20, 2023 RB Leipzig 1-1 Bayern Munich
Jul 30, 2022 RB Leipzig 3-5 Bayern Munich
Feb 05, 2022 Bayern Munich 3-2 RB Leipzig
Key Factors
RB Leipzig in strong form (4W in last 5)
Bayern Munich struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.