AI Match Insights

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League One Dec 14, 2024

Bolton

Home

12:30

Wigan

Away

AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence

Bolton Win

53.0%

Draw

23.4%

Wigan Win

23.6%

Home Win (53% confidence)

Predicted Score: 1-0

Decision Justification

Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)

GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) TOP3vsBot (75.8%) TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)

Player Score 40%

Momentum 85%

Standings 95%

Market 50%

Combined: 56% Draw Risk: 27%

xG: 1.93 - 0.59

Key Insights

xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.6 Position gap: 17 places

High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized

Score Prediction Analysis

Bolton Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

15%

1 goals:

28%

2 goals:

27%

3 goals:

17%

4 goals:

Wigan Goal Probabilities

0 goals:

55%

1 goals:

33%

2 goals:

10%

3 goals:

4 goals:

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0 (16%) 2-0 (15%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%)

BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%

Over 2.5 Goals 45%

Under 2.5 Goals 55%

Bolton Form 14.0%

Date	Match	Result
Dec 10	Bolton vs Stoke City	2-1
Dec 10	Bolton vs Huddersfi…	3-1
Dec 07	Bolton vs Swansea	1-1
Dec 07	Bolton vs Wrexham	0-1
Dec 04	Bolton vs Peterboro…	0-1
Dec 03	Bolton vs Mansfield…	3-1
Dec 03	Bolton vs Mansfield…	3-1
Nov 30	Bolton vs Norwich C…	4-2
Nov 27	Bolton vs Leeds	3-0
Nov 26	Bolton vs Charlton	0-1

Wigan Form 8.0%

Date	Match	Result
Dec 07	Wigan vs Leyton Or…	0-2
Dec 03	Wigan vs Huddersfi…	1-0
Dec 03	Wigan vs Huddersfi…	1-0
Nov 26	Wigan vs Northampt…	2-1
Nov 23	Wigan vs Burnley	0-1
Nov 23	Wigan vs Burnley	0-1
Nov 09	Wigan vs Wycombe	0-1
Nov 09	Wigan vs Wycombe	0-1
Oct 28	Wigan vs Blackpool	2-2
Oct 28	Wigan vs Blackpool	2-2

Key Analysis Factors

Bolton in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Wigan struggling (3L in last 5) Away

Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches

Date	Home Team	Score	Away Team	League
Mar 29, 2024	Wigan	1 - 1	Bolton	Pro League
Feb 27, 2024	Wigan	1 - 0	Bolton	Pro League
Feb 27, 2024	Wigan	1 - 0	Bolton	League One
Aug 19, 2023	Bolton	0 - 4	Wigan	League One
Jul 09, 2022	Bolton	0 - 1	Wigan	Friendlies Clu…
Apr 02, 2022	Wigan	1 - 1	Bolton	League One
Oct 16, 2021	Bolton	0 - 4	Wigan	League One
Aug 24, 2021	Wigan	0 - 0	Bolton	League Cup

Final Verdict

ELITE: Bolton to win (93% confidence)

ELITE Tier

Predicted: 1-0 93% Confidence

Rules Passed

POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE

Key Factors

Huge position gap: 17

Bolton Power 39

Wigan Power 33

Home Form N/A

Away Form N/A

League Standings Context

3

Bolton Position

+17

Position Gap

20

Wigan Position

Home Win Rate: 67%

Away Win Rate: 13%

Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.