AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Taça de Portugal Oct 02, 2022

União Santarém

Home
VS
13:00

Mafra

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
União Santarém Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Mafra Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.89 - 0.82
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.8
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
União Santarém Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Mafra Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
União Santarém Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 01 União San… vs Caldas 2-3
Apr 16 União San… vs Amora 0-1
Apr 09 União San… vs Caldas 2-2
Mar 20 União San… vs Amora 2-2
Feb 13 União San… vs Amora 2-0
Jan 09 União San… vs Caldas 1-1
Nov 06 União San… vs Amora 1-1
Aug 28 União San… vs Caldas 1-0
Mafra Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 30 Mafra vs Academica 0-2
Mar 19 Mafra vs SC Covilha 2-0
Dec 18 Mafra vs Academica 2-2
Oct 31 Mafra vs SC Covilha 1-1
Aug 01 Mafra vs SC Covilha 3-1
May 08 Mafra vs Academica 2-2
Apr 24 Mafra vs SC Covilha 2-2
Feb 18 Mafra vs SC Covilha 2-2
Jan 11 Mafra vs Academica 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: União Santarém to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
União Santarém Power 0
Mafra Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.