AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premiership Feb 15, 2026

Motherwell

Home
VS
14:30

Aberdeen

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Motherwell Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Aberdeen Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 65%
Market 50%
Combined: 63% Draw Risk: 2%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Motherwell Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Aberdeen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Motherwell Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Motherwell vs Livingston 0-2
Jan 24 Motherwell vs Kilmarnock 4-0
Jan 17 Motherwell vs Ross Coun… 1-0
Jan 10 Motherwell vs Hibernian 1-1
Jan 03 Motherwell vs St. Mirren 2-0
Dec 30 Motherwell vs Celtic 2-0
Dec 27 Motherwell vs Rangers FC 1-0
Dec 20 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 1-0
Dec 13 Motherwell vs Dundee Utd 0-0
Dec 06 Motherwell vs Livingston 3-0
Aberdeen Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock 3-0
Jan 24 Aberdeen vs Livingston 6-2
Jan 18 Aberdeen vs Raith Rov… 1-0
Jan 11 Aberdeen vs Rangers FC 0-2
Jan 06 Aberdeen vs Rangers FC 2-0
Jan 03 Aberdeen vs Falkirk 1-0
Dec 30 Aberdeen vs Hibernian 2-0
Dec 27 Aberdeen vs Dundee Utd 1-1
Dec 21 Aberdeen vs Celtic 3-1
Dec 18 Aberdeen vs Slavia Pr… 3-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Motherwell in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Aberdeen struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 09, 2025 Aberdeen 1 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
Sep 27, 2025 Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen Premiership
Sep 20, 2025 Aberdeen 0 - 1 Motherwell League Cup
Mar 29, 2025 Aberdeen 4 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
Jan 05, 2025 Motherwell 2 - 0 Aberdeen Premiership
Sep 14, 2024 Aberdeen 2 - 1 Motherwell Premiership
Apr 27, 2024 Aberdeen 1 - 0 Motherwell Premiership
Mar 16, 2024 Motherwell 0 - 1 Aberdeen Premiership
Feb 14, 2024 Aberdeen 3 - 3 Motherwell Premiership
Nov 01, 2023 Motherwell 2 - 4 Aberdeen Premiership
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Motherwell Power 0
Aberdeen Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Motherwell Position

+3

Position Gap

7

Aberdeen Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.