Copa EspĂrito Santo · Jul 14, 2025 22:00
Real Noroeste
PWR 44
PWR 44
3 - 1
FT
Capixaba SC
PWR 37
PWR 37
49% H
24% D
27% A
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (42% confidence)
Prediction
1-1
Score
42%
Confidence
STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Match Analyzer STANDARD
Most Likely Scores:
2-1 (10%)
1-1 (9%)
2-0 (8%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
2-2 (6%)
1X2SKIP
Over/UnderUNDER_25
BTTSBTTS_NO
LOST - Actual: 3-1
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules · 45%DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk43%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar - high draw probabilityClose positions = higher draw riskWeak home team = higher draw riskSAME_STATS: WR diff only 0% = high draw risk
SAME_STATS: WR diff 0%, pos gap 1
Power & Form
Attack54
Defense42
Goals/G1.6
Conc/G1.7
Attack21
Defense55
Goals/G0.6
Conc/G1.3
Real Noroeste Form
LLWWW
DOWN
Capixaba SC Form
WWDLL
STABLE
Score & Markets
Over 2.562%
BTTS62%
Under 2.538%
Real Noroes… Goals
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Capixaba SC Goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4
3%
Expected Goals (xG)
2.06
Real Noroestevs
1.25
Capixaba SCDecision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player40%
Momentum77%
Standings50%
Market50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
League Standings
#5
Real Noroes…+1
Gap#6
Capixaba SC
WR 33% 21 pts
WR 33% 20 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Noroeste | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 21 |
| Capixaba SC | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 20 |
Real Noroeste
12.0%
| Jul 06 | Real No… v Capixab… | 1-0 |
| Jun 25 | Real No… v Serra T… | 3-4 |
| Jun 18 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 2-3 |
| May 25 | Real No… v Rio Bra… | 0-2 |
| May 17 | Real No… v Vilavel… | 1-0 |
| May 07 | Real No… v Porto V… | 1-1 |
| Apr 26 | Real No… v Vitoria | 2-1 |
| Apr 19 | Real No… v Desport… | 2-1 |
| Mar 10 | Real No… v Porto V… | 1-1 |
| Mar 07 | Real No… v Porto V… | 1-0 |
Capixaba SC
10.0%
| Jul 06 | Capixab… v Real No… | 1-0 |
| Jun 29 | Capixab… v Rio Bra… | 0-2 |
| Jun 21 | Capixab… v Rio Bra… | 0-0 |
| May 31 | Capixab… v Vilavel… | 0-1 |
| May 20 | Capixab… v Porto V… | 2-1 |
| May 10 | Capixab… v Vitoria | 0-4 |
| May 03 | Capixab… v Desport… | 1-1 |
| Apr 19 | Capixab… v Serra T… | 0-1 |
| Mar 09 | Capixab… v Rio Bra… | 0-1 |
| Mar 07 | Capixab… v Rio Bra… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 06, 2025 | Capixaba SC | 1-0 | Real Noroeste |
Key Factors
Real Noroeste in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data. Results may vary.