AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Espírito Santo Jul 19, 2025

Real Noroeste

Home
VS
18:00

Vitoria

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Real Noroeste Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Vitoria Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.47 - 0.75
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Noroeste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Vitoria Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (12%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Under 2.5 Goals 62%
Real Noroeste Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 14 Real Noro… vs Capixaba … 3-1
Jul 06 Real Noro… vs Capixaba … 1-0
Jun 25 Real Noro… vs Serra Tal… 3-4
Jun 18 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 2-3
May 25 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 0-2
May 17 Real Noro… vs Vilavelhe… 1-0
May 07 Real Noro… vs Porto Vit… 1-1
Apr 26 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 2-1
Apr 19 Real Noro… vs Desportiv… 2-1
Mar 10 Real Noro… vs Porto Vit… 1-1
Vitoria Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 17 Vitoria vs Botafogo 0-0
Jul 12 Vitoria vs Vilavelhe… 1-1
Jul 12 Vitoria vs Internaci… 1-0
Jul 07 Vitoria vs Vilavelhe… 0-3
Jun 21 Vitoria vs Porto Vit… 2-1
Jun 12 Vitoria vs Cruzeiro 0-0
Jun 07 Vitoria vs Desportiv… 1-1
Jun 01 Vitoria vs Corinthia… 0-0
May 25 Vitoria vs Santos 0-1
May 18 Vitoria vs Bahia 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Noroeste in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 26, 2025 Vitoria 2 - 1 Real Noroeste Copa Espírito …
Feb 01, 2025 Vitoria 1 - 2 Real Noroeste Capixaba
Aug 17, 2024 Vitoria 1 - 0 Real Noroeste Copa Espírito …
Jul 03, 2024 Real Noroeste 1 - 2 Vitoria Copa Espírito …
May 25, 2024 Real Noroeste 4 - 4 Vitoria Copa Espírito …
Mar 15, 2024 Real Noroeste 2 - 4 Vitoria Capixaba
Mar 11, 2024 Vitoria 3 - 1 Real Noroeste Capixaba
Jan 31, 2024 Vitoria 2 - 3 Real Noroeste Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Real Noroeste to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Noroeste Power 0
Vitoria Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.