AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Capixaba Feb 05, 2026

Real Noroeste

Home
VS
22:00

Desportiva ES

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Real Noroeste Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Desportiva ES Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.09 - 0.84
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Real Noroeste Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Desportiva ES Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Under 2.5 Goals 70%
Real Noroeste Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 0-1
Jan 30 Real Noro… vs Vitória ES 0-4
Jan 26 Real Noro… vs Vilavelhe… 1-0
Jan 22 Real Noro… vs Serra Tal… 1-1
Jan 18 Real Noro… vs Rio Branc… 2-2
Jan 15 Real Noro… vs Forte FC 0-2
Jul 26 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 2-0
Jul 19 Real Noro… vs Vitoria 0-0
Jul 14 Real Noro… vs Capixaba … 3-1
Jul 06 Real Noro… vs Capixaba … 1-0
Desportiva ES Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Desportiv… vs Porto Vit… 0-0
Jan 28 Desportiv… vs Rio Branc… 1-1
Jan 24 Desportiv… vs Vitória ES 0-2
Jan 20 Desportiv… vs Vilavelhe… 1-2
Jan 16 Desportiv… vs Serra Tal… 3-0
Jan 14 Desportiv… vs Rio Branc… 3-1
Nov 16 Desportiv… vs Aimoré 0-1
Nov 12 Desportiv… vs Aimoré 1-0
Nov 09 Desportiv… vs Brasil de… 1-1
Nov 02 Desportiv… vs América d… 4-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 19, 2025 Real Noroeste 2 - 1 Desportiva ES Copa Espírito …
Feb 23, 2025 Real Noroeste 1 - 1 Desportiva ES Capixaba
Aug 10, 2024 Real Noroeste 1 - 2 Desportiva ES Copa Espírito …
Jul 10, 2024 Desportiva ES 1 - 1 Real Noroeste Copa Espírito …
Jun 19, 2024 Desportiva ES 3 - 1 Real Noroeste Copa Espírito …
Feb 25, 2024 Real Noroeste 2 - 2 Desportiva ES Capixaba
Feb 01, 2023 Real Noroeste 0 - 1 Desportiva ES Capixaba
Feb 09, 2022 Real Noroeste 3 - 0 Desportiva ES Capixaba
Mar 06, 2021 Desportiva ES 0 - 0 Real Noroeste Capixaba
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Real Noroeste Power 0
Desportiva ES Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Real Noroeste Position

-4

Position Gap

5

Desportiva ES Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.