AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
NPFL Feb 11, 2026

Warri Wolves

Home
VS
15:00

Abia Warriors

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Warri Wolves Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Abia Warriors Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.56 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Warri Wolves Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Abia Warriors Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Warri Wolves Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Warri Wol… vs Kwara Uni… 1-0
Jan 29 Warri Wol… vs Remo Stars 1-0
Jan 25 Warri Wol… vs Enugu Ran… 4-2
Jan 19 Warri Wol… vs Katsina U… 2-0
Jan 14 Warri Wol… vs Wikki Tou… 0-1
Dec 28 Warri Wol… vs Wikki Tou… 2-2
Dec 21 Warri Wol… vs Abia Warr… 1-0
Dec 14 Warri Wol… vs Kano Pill… 0-0
Dec 07 Warri Wol… vs Plateau U… 1-0
Nov 30 Warri Wol… vs Nasarawa … 1-0
Abia Warriors Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Abia Warr… vs Katsina U… 0-0
Jan 28 Abia Warr… vs Wikki Tou… 1-1
Jan 25 Abia Warr… vs Nasarawa … 1-2
Jan 25 Abia Warr… vs Ikorodu C… 1-0
Jan 18 Abia Warr… vs Kano Pill… 0-1
Jan 18 Abia Warr… vs Bendel In… 3-2
Jan 14 Abia Warr… vs Bayelsa U… 1-0
Jan 14 Abia Warr… vs Plateau U… 1-1
Dec 28 Abia Warr… vs Bayelsa U… 0-1
Dec 28 Abia Warr… vs Plateau U… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Warri Wolves in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 21, 2025 Abia Warriors 1 - 0 Warri Wolves NPFL
Sep 21, 2025 Abia Warriors 1 - 0 Warri Wolves NPFL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Warri Wolves Power 0
Abia Warriors Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Warri Wolves Position

-5

Position Gap

4

Abia Warriors Position
Home Win Rate: 42%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.