AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Friendlies Feb 18, 2026

Portugal U17

Home
VS
11:00

Germany U17

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Portugal U17 Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Germany U17 Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 1.84 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.8
High draw risk (41%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Portugal U17 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Germany U17 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (13%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (7%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%
Portugal U17 Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 Portugal … vs Germany U… 3-1
Jan 11 Portugal … vs Germany U… 2-1
Nov 27 Portugal … vs Haiti U17 1-0
Nov 24 Portugal … vs Brazil U17 0-0
Nov 21 Portugal … vs Switzerla… 2-0
Nov 18 Portugal … vs New Mexic… 0-5
Nov 14 Portugal … vs Belgium 2-1
Nov 09 Portugal … vs Japan U17 1-2
Nov 06 Portugal … vs Morocco 6-0
Nov 03 Portugal … vs New Caled… 1-6
Germany U17 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 14 Germany U… vs Portugal … 3-1
Jan 11 Germany U… vs Portugal … 2-1
Nov 15 Germany U… vs Burkina F… 0-1
Nov 10 Germany U… vs El Salvad… 0-7
Nov 07 Germany U… vs Korea DPR… 1-1
Nov 04 Germany U… vs Colombia … 1-1
Oct 13 Germany U… vs Northern … 0-1
Oct 11 Germany U… vs France 1-1
Jun 08 Germany U… vs France 0-2
Jun 04 Germany U… vs Portugal … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Portugal U17 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 14, 2026 Germany U17 3 - 1 Portugal U17 Friendlies
Jan 11, 2026 Portugal U17 2 - 1 Germany U17 Friendlies
Jun 04, 2025 Germany U17 1 - 2 Portugal U17 UEFA Nations L…
May 25, 2025 Portugal U17 2 - 1 Germany U17 UEFA U17 Champ…
Mar 26, 2024 Germany U17 2 - 3 Portugal U17 UEFA U17 Champ…
May 17, 2023 Portugal U17 0 - 4 Germany U17 UEFA U17 Champ…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Portugal U17 to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Portugal U17 Power 0
Germany U17 Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.